Pool Corporation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

POOL Stock  USD 366.49  2.13  0.58%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Pool Corporation is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Pool's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Pool Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Pool and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Pool Corporation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Pool Buy or Sell Advice

The Pool recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pool Corporation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pool Corporation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pool's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PoolBuy Pool
Buy

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Pool Corporation has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0485, Jensen Alpha of (0.01), Total Risk Alpha of (0.19), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1053
Macroaxis provides advice on Pool Corporation to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Pool. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Pool is not overpriced, please check all Pool fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Pool has a price to earning of 16.83 X, we recommend you to check out Pool market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Pool Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Pool has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Pool Co. Shares Bought by Aurora Investment Counsel

Pool Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Pool's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pool's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pool daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pool Corporation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pool returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pool.
Mean Return
0.1
Value At Risk
-3
Potential Upside
2.75
Standard Deviation
1.76
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pool historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Pool Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
591.7 K
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
568.6 K
Wasatch Advisors Lp2024-09-30
565.3 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
562.7 K
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2024-06-30
539.1 K
London Company Of Virginia2024-06-30
527.5 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
482.9 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
433.2 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
432.9 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
4.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.3 M
Note, although Pool's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Pool Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(14.2M)(42.4M)(525.2M)(263.6M)231.2M242.8M
Change In Cash12.2M5.5M(9.8M)21.3M20.9M22.0M
Depreciation29.3M29.4M30.0M39.0M40.1M42.1M
Other Non Cash Items4.9M10.5M5.3M9.7M3.6M3.7M
Capital Expenditures33.4M21.7M37.7M43.6M60.1M63.1M
Net Income261.6M366.7M650.6M748.5M523.2M549.4M
End Period Cash Flow28.6M34.1M24.3M45.6M66.5M69.9M
Free Cash Flow265.4M375.9M275.8M441.2M828.1M869.5M
Dividends Paid83.8M91.9M119.6M150.6M167.5M175.8M
Change Receivables(15.7M)(38.7M)(79.9M)19.7M17.7M18.6M
Net Borrowings(158.4M)(95.9M)769.6M201.9M232.1M243.8M
Change To Netincome22.1M22.5M25.2M39.7M45.7M48.0M
Investments(42.3M)(146.3M)(849.6M)(50.9M)(70.9M)(74.4M)

Pool Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pool or Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pool's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pool stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Pool Volatility Alert

Pool Corporation has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.76 and kurtosis of 4.97. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pool's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pool's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Pool Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Pool's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pool's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pool and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pool or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pool's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pool by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Pool to competition
FundamentalsPoolPeer Average
Return On Equity0.31-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation15.09 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding38.06 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.05 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.95 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.15 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.83 X28.72 X
Price To Book9.74 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.62 X11.42 X
Revenue5.54 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.93 B27.38 B
EBITDA787.26 M3.9 B
Net Income523.23 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents85.61 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.19 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.36 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.49 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share37.62 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations888.23 M971.22 M
Short Ratio11.31 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share11.65 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.81 X4.89 X
Target Price382.4
Number Of Employees6 K18.84 K
Beta1.01-0.15
Market Capitalization13.95 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.43 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings699.99 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.04 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 266 shares by Walker Saik of Pool at 471.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Pool Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pool . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Pool Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Pool Corporation? Buying financial instruments such as Pool Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Pool in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Pharmaceutical Products Thematic Idea Now

Pharmaceutical Products
Pharmaceutical Products Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Pharmaceutical Products theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Pharmaceutical Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Pool is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pool's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pool's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pool Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Pool Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pool. If investors know Pool will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pool listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
4.6
Earnings Share
11.65
Revenue Per Share
139.547
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Pool is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pool that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pool's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pool's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pool is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pool's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.