Pool Corporation Stock Price Patterns
| POOL Stock | USD 254.09 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.04 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9984 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.8521 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.5847 | Wall Street Target Price 312.9091 |
Using Pool hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pool Corporation from the perspective of Pool response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pool using Pool's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pool using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pool's stock price.
Pool Short Interest
An investor who is long Pool may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pool and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pool with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 287.6171 | Short Percent 0.1067 | Short Ratio 4.39 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.2 M | 50 Day MA 244.308 |
Pool Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Pool's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pool. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pool can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pool Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pool's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pool.
Pool Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Pool's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pool Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pool's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pool stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pool's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pool to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pool because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Pool after-hype prediction price | USD 254.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pool contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pool Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Pool trading at USD 254.09, that is roughly USD 0.0715 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pool's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pool Corporation options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Pool Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Pool After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pool at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pool or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pool, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pool Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pool's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pool's historical news coverage. Pool's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 252.52 and 255.74, respectively. We have considered Pool's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pool is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pool is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pool Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pool is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pool backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pool, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.61 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
254.09 | 254.13 | 0.02 |
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Pool Hype Timeline
Pool is at this time traded for 254.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Pool is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 254.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 43.4%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Pool is about 6708.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 254.09. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.31 B. Net Income was 432.07 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Pool Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Pool Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pool's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pool's future price movements. Getting to know how Pool's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pool may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies | 0.63 | 9 per month | 1.72 | (0.03) | 2.64 | (2.10) | 9.70 | |
| CNM | Core Main | 1.98 | 9 per month | 1.89 | (0.01) | 3.47 | (2.94) | 11.37 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | 0.87 | 10 per month | 1.24 | (0.02) | 2.24 | (2.21) | 7.54 | |
| DCI | Donaldson | (0.42) | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.19 | 2.27 | (1.74) | 9.29 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | 0.79 | 12 per month | 0.93 | 0.15 | 2.55 | (2.33) | 34.18 | |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings | (1.75) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.15 | (5.41) | 10.93 | |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies | (3.78) | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.03 | 2.75 | (1.61) | 9.37 | |
| ARMK | Aramark Holdings | 0.08 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.78 | (2.33) | 6.45 | |
| RRX | Regal Beloit | 2.58 | 8 per month | 2.12 | 0.05 | 4.12 | (3.75) | 11.58 | |
| SPXC | SPX Corp | (1.22) | 9 per month | 1.84 | 0.04 | 3.62 | (3.22) | 17.00 |
Pool Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pool price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pool using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pool charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Pool Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Pool stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pool Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pool based on analysis of Pool hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pool's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pool's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0109 | 0.0139 | 0.0159 | 0.0153 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.78 | 2.44 | 2.2 | 2.31 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Pool Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pool. Anticipated expansion of Pool directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Pool assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.04 | Dividend Share 4.9 | Earnings Share 10.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.013 |
Investors evaluate Pool using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Pool's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Pool's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Pool's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Pool should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Pool's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.