Ammo Inc Stock Market Value
| POWW Stock | USD 1.26 0.07 5.88% |
| Symbol | Ammo |
Ammo Inc Price To Book Ratio
Is Leisure Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ammo. If investors know Ammo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ammo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share 1.143 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Ammo Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ammo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ammo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ammo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ammo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ammo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ammo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ammo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ammo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ammo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ammo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ammo.
| 11/28/2023 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ammo on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ammo Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ammo over 360 days. Ammo is related to or competes with Sturm Ruger, Kratos Defense, VSE, Smith Wesson, Park Electrochemical, Ammo Preferred, and National Presto. AMMO, Inc. designs, produces, and markets ammunition and ammunition component products for sport and recreational shoote... More
Ammo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ammo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ammo Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.59 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.42 |
Ammo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ammo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ammo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ammo historical prices to predict the future Ammo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.72) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.13) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ammo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ammo Inc Backtested Returns
Ammo Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0605, which signifies that the company had a -0.0605% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Ammo Inc exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ammo's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), mean deviation of 2.79, and Standard Deviation of 3.79 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.75, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ammo will likely underperform. At this point, Ammo Inc has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm Ammo's rate of daily change, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and value at risk , to decide if Ammo Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.71 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Ammo Inc has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ammo time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ammo Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Ammo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.71 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.73 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Ammo Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ammo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ammo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ammo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ammo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ammo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ammo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ammo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ammo stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ammo Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ammo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ammo stock have on its future price. Ammo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ammo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ammo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ammo Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Ammo Stock Analysis
When running Ammo's price analysis, check to measure Ammo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ammo is operating at the current time. Most of Ammo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ammo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ammo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ammo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.