Provident Financial (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PQ3 Stock  EUR 19.90  0.10  0.50%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Provident Financial Services is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Provident Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PQ3 positions.
  
Check out Provident Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Provident and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Provident Financial Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Provident Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Provident recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Provident Financial Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Provident Financial Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Provident Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Provident FinancialBuy Provident Financial
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Provident Financial Services has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0997, Jensen Alpha of 0.1025, Total Risk Alpha of (0.11), Sortino Ratio of 0.0835 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2092
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Provident Financial and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Provident Financial is not overpriced, please check all Provident Financial fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, and the relationship between the price to book and revenue .

Provident Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Provident Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Provident Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Provident Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Provident Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Provident Financial Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Provident Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Provident Financial.
Mean Return
0.27
Value At Risk
-2.5
Potential Upside
3.11
Standard Deviation
2.24
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Provident Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Provident Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Provident Financial or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Provident Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Provident stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
2.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Provident Financial Volatility Alert

Provident Financial Services has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.15 and kurtosis of 9.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Provident Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Provident Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Provident Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Provident Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Provident Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Provident Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Provident Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Provident Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Provident Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Provident Financial to competition
FundamentalsProvident FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0127-0.14
Profit Margin0.35 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.51 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.73 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding75.17 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.32 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions71.43 %39.21 %
Price To Earning10.84 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.06 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.05 X11.42 X
Revenue505.34 M9.43 B
Gross Profit496.95 M27.38 B
Net Income175.65 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents207.69 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.20 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.35 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share21.48 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations158.18 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share2.22 X3.12 X
Target Price25.4
Number Of Employees3518.84 K
Beta0.97-0.15
Market Capitalization1.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.78 B29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return2.84 %
Net Asset13.78 B
Last Dividend Paid0.96

Provident Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Provident . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Provident Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Provident Financial Services? Buying financial instruments such as Provident Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Provident Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Gold and Gold Mining
Gold and Gold Mining Theme
Large and mid-size companies, ETFs and funds that are either investing, exploring or producing, gold or indirectly involved in trading or making gold products. The Gold and Gold Mining theme has 99 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Gold and Gold Mining Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Provident Stock

When determining whether Provident Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Provident Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Provident Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Provident Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Provident Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Provident Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Provident Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Provident Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.