Is Provident Financial Stock a Good Investment?

Provident Financial Investment Advice

  PFS
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Provident Financial Services stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Provident Financial Services. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Provident Financial in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Provident Financial's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Provident Financial's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Provident Financial navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Regional Banks space and any emerging trends that could impact Provident Financial's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Provident Financial's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Provident Financial is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Provident Financial pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Provident Financial's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Provident Financial Services stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Provident Financial Services is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Provident Financial. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Provident Financial is not overpriced, please check all Provident Financial fundamentals, including its revenue, short ratio, five year return, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Provident Financial has a number of shares shorted of 2.85 M, we recommend you to check out Provident Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Provident Financial Stock

Researching Provident Financial's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.07. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Provident Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024.
To determine if Provident Financial is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Provident Financial's research are outlined below:
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Provident financial director Edward Leppert sells shares worth 1.44 million
Provident Financial uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Provident Financial Services. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Provident Financial's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
25th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
25th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
23rd of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Provident Financial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Provident Financial's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.10.110.0110 
2008-04-23
2008-03-310.160.180.0212 
2003-10-30
2003-09-300.160.14-0.0212 
2003-07-17
2003-06-300.170.15-0.0211 
2013-04-26
2013-03-310.280.310.0310 
2008-10-23
2008-09-300.20.230.0315 
2007-10-25
2007-09-300.170.14-0.0317 
2004-07-26
2004-06-300.190.16-0.0315 

Know Provident Financial's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Provident Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Provident Financial Services backward and forwards among themselves. Provident Financial's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Provident Financial's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.5 M
Basswood Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
892.7 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
745.4 K
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
701.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
687.5 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
679.7 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
672.8 K
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
650.5 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
644.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
17.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
14.6 M
Note, although Provident Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Provident Financial's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 2.79 B.

Market Cap

975.27 Million

Provident Financial's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.05 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.18 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.48 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.48 of operating income.
Determining Provident Financial's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Provident Financial is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Provident Financial's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Provident Financial's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Provident Financial's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Provident Financial Services. Check Provident Financial's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Provident Financial's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Provident Financial's management efficiency

Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to 0.03 in 2024, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.01 in 2024. At this time, Provident Financial's Intangibles To Total Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 9.11 in 2024, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 8.8 B in 2024. Provident Financial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Provident Financial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 22.59  28.24 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 16.47  23.50 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 5.94  6.23 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.80  1.32 
Enterprise Value Multiple 5.94  6.23 
Price Fair Value 0.80  1.32 
Enterprise Value2.6 B1.8 B
The strategic decisions made by Provident Financial management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Dividend Yield
0.0449
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0449
Forward Dividend Rate
0.96
Beta
1.023

Basic technical analysis of Provident Stock

As of the 26th of November, Provident Financial holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0965, coefficient of variation of 857.0, and Semi Deviation of 1.61. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Provident Financial, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Provident Financial variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Provident Financial is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 21.66 per share. Given that Provident Financial has jensen alpha of 0.0071, we recommend you to check out Provident Financial's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Provident Financial's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Provident Financial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Provident Financial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Provident Financial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Provident Financial's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Provident Financial issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Provident Financial uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Provident bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Provident Financial Services has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Provident Financial's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Provident Financial's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Provident Financial's intraday indicators

Provident Financial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Provident Financial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Provident Financial Corporate Filings

F4
22nd of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
13A
31st of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
30th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
Provident Financial time-series forecasting models is one of many Provident Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Provident Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Provident Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Provident Financial that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Provident media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Provident internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Provident data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Provident Financial news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Provident Financial relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Provident Financial's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Provident Financial alpha.

Provident Financial Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Provident Financial can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Provident Financial Corporate Directors

Matthew HardingIndependent DirectorProfile
Robert AdamoIndependent DirectorProfile
Terence GallagherIndependent DirectorProfile
Edward LeppertIndependent DirectorProfile

Additional Tools for Provident Stock Analysis

When running Provident Financial's price analysis, check to measure Provident Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Provident Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Provident Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Provident Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Provident Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Provident Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.