Progress Software Stock Market Outlook
| PRGS Stock | USD 41.88 0.21 0.50% |
Slightly above 62% of Progress Software's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in Progress Software suggests that many traders are, at the present time, alarmed. Progress Software's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Progress Software's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 38
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Progress Software's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Progress Software.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Progress Software is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Progress Software given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Progress Software, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Execute Progress Software Advice
The Progress recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Progress Software. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Progress Software or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Progress Software's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Progress Software has a Mean Deviation of 2.06, Semi Deviation of 3.23, Standard Deviation of 3.24, Variance of 10.52, Downside Variance of 12.07 and Semi Variance of 10.46Progress Software advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Progress Software is not overpriced, please check all Progress Software fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Progress Software has a price to earning of 30.63 X, we recommend you to check out Progress Software market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Progress Software Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Progress Software had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Progress Software has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Market Trends Create New Opportunities for 3 Former Stock Picks Technical Indicators - Barrons |
Progress Software Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Progress Software's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Progress Software's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Progress Software daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Progress Software price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Progress Software returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Progress Software.
| Mean Return | 0.1 | Value At Risk | -4.11 | Potential Upside | 3.82 | Standard Deviation | 3.24 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Progress Software historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Progress Stock Institutional Investors
The Progress Software's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Progress Software's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-09-30 | 868.2 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2025-09-30 | 862.1 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2025-09-30 | 843.6 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2025-12-31 | 740.6 K | Swedbank Ab | 2025-12-31 | 735.6 K | Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 | 2025-09-30 | 722.1 K | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2025-09-30 | 638.2 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-09-30 | 630.1 K | Segall Bryant & Hamill | 2025-12-31 | 599.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-09-30 | 6.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-12-31 | 5.7 M |
Progress Software Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 94.4M | (129.3M) | (8.9M) | (23.3M) | (20.9M) | (19.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 186.1M | 168.4M | 206.3M | 229.5M | 263.9M | 277.1M | |
| Depreciation | 76.8M | 105.3M | 103.0M | 151.7M | 174.5M | 183.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.2M) | (42.1M) | 15.8M | 21.5M | 24.8M | 26.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 6.1M | 5.6M | 5.2M | 5.7M | 5.1M | 7.5M | |
| Net Income | 95.1M | 70.2M | 68.4M | 73.1M | 84.1M | 88.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 251.8M | 127.0M | 118.1M | 94.8M | 109.0M | 127.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 31.1M | 31.6M | 31.5M | 786K | 707.4K | 672.0K | |
| Investments | 11.4M | (258.6M) | (6.1M) | (360.4M) | (857.9M) | 0.0 | |
| Net Borrowings | 602K | 103.1M | 797.5M | (130M) | (149.5M) | (142.0M) |
Progress Software Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Progress Software or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Progress Software's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Progress stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Progress Software Volatility Alert
Progress Software shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Progress Software's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Progress Software's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Progress Software Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Progress Software's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Progress Software's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Progress Software and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Progress Software or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Progress Software's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Progress Software by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Progress Software to competition |
| Fundamentals | Progress Software | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0438 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.1 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 42.11 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.49 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.51 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.8 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 30.63 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.69 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.84 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 977.83 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 831.48 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 159.52 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 73.13 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 224.86 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.23 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 850.99 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.76 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.30 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 235.19 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.62 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.66 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.44 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 65.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.58 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.8 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.46 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 127.37 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (409.77 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Anthony Folger of 18293 shares of Progress Software subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Progress Software Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Progress . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Progress Software Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Progress Software? Buying financial instruments such as Progress Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Progress Software in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Corporate ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Corporate ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Corporate ETFs theme has 242 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corporate ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Progress Stock Analysis
When running Progress Software's price analysis, check to measure Progress Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progress Software is operating at the current time. Most of Progress Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progress Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progress Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progress Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.