Progress Software Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PRGS Stock  USD 69.25  0.52  0.76%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Progress Software is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Progress Software given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Progress Software. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Progress Software, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Progress Software Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Progress Stock please use our How to Invest in Progress Software guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Progress and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Progress Software. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Progress Software Buy or Sell Advice

The Progress recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Progress Software. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Progress Software or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Progress Software's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Progress SoftwareBuy Progress Software
Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Progress Software has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1367, Jensen Alpha of 0.2368, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0146, Sortino Ratio of 0.1839 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4861
Macroaxis provides unbiased recommendation on Progress Software that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Progress Software. Our trade recommendations engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Progress Software is not overpriced, please check all Progress Software fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Progress Software has a price to earning of 30.63 X, we recommend you to check out Progress Software market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Progress Software Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from newsweek.com: Yankees Reportedly Made Huge Progress Toward Re-Signing Juan Soto

Progress Software Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Progress Software's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Progress Software's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Progress Software daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Progress Software price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Progress Software returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Progress Software.
Mean Return
0.33
Value At Risk
-1.37
Potential Upside
2.49
Standard Deviation
1.91
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Progress Software historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Progress Stock Institutional Investors

The Progress Software's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Progress Software's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
994 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
900.2 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
896.9 K
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-06-30
865.1 K
Nomura Holdings Inc2024-06-30
708.3 K
Mizuho Markets Americas Llc2024-09-30
659.9 K
Seizert Capital Partners, Llc2024-09-30
645.1 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
641.6 K
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
617.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
7.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
5.8 M
Note, although Progress Software's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Progress Software Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(10.7M)245K(1.6M)2.5M2.9M3.0M
Change In Cash(67.7M)51.4M94.4M(129.3M)(116.4M)(110.6M)
Free Cash Flow138.3M173.9M186.1M168.4M193.6M203.3M
Depreciation34.8M61.2M76.8M105.3M121.1M127.1M
Other Non Cash Items8.9M10.7M(2.2M)(42.1M)(37.9M)(36.0M)
Capital Expenditures6.5M4.7M6.1M5.6M5.0M7.7M
Net Income79.7M78.4M95.1M70.2M80.7M84.8M
End Period Cash Flow106.0M157.4M251.8M127.0M146.0M148.9M
Change To Netincome33.5M13.1M39.5M10.9M12.6M17.9M
Dividends Paid29.9M31.6M31.1M31.6M28.4M27.2M
Investments11.4M(258.6M)(6.1M)(360.4M)(324.3M)(308.1M)
Net Borrowings179.7M87.2M231.9M602K692.3K657.7K

Progress Software Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Progress Software or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Progress Software's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Progress stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.65
σ
Overall volatility
1.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Progress Software Volatility Alert

Progress Software has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.6 and kurtosis of 20.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Progress Software's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Progress Software's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Progress Software Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Progress Software's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Progress Software's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Progress Software and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Progress Software or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Progress Software's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Progress Software by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Progress Software to competition
FundamentalsProgress SoftwarePeer Average
Return On Equity0.19-0.31
Return On Asset0.0544-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.24 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.55 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding42.91 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.60 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.65 M4.71 M
Price To Earning30.63 X28.72 X
Price To Book6.98 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.15 X11.42 X
Revenue694.44 M9.43 B
Gross Profit529.59 M27.38 B
EBITDA110.52 M3.9 B
Net Income70.2 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents224.86 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.23 X5.01 X
Total Debt747.11 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.76 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.92 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations173.92 M971.22 M
Short Ratio9.27 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.86 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth6.30 X4.89 X
Target Price73.29
Number Of Employees2.28 K18.84 K
Beta0.92-0.15
Market Capitalization2.97 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.6 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings120.86 M9.33 B
Working Capital(21.33 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Anthony Folger of 1996 shares of Progress Software subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Progress Software Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Progress . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Progress Software Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Progress Software? Buying financial instruments such as Progress Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Progress Software in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Emerging Markets Funds Thematic Idea Now

Emerging Markets Funds
Emerging Markets Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in markets of developing countries. The Emerging Markets Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Emerging Markets Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Progress Stock Analysis

When running Progress Software's price analysis, check to measure Progress Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progress Software is operating at the current time. Most of Progress Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progress Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progress Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progress Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.