Progress Software Stock Market Outlook

PRGS Stock  USD 41.41  0.68  1.67%   
Slightly above 53% of Progress Software's private investors are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in Progress Software suggests that some traders are, at the present time, interested. Progress Software's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Progress Software's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.

Comfort Level 53

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Progress Software's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Progress Software.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Progress Software is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Progress Software given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Progress Software, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.

Execute Progress Software Advice

The Progress recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Progress Software. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Progress Software or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Progress Software's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Progress SoftwareBuy Progress Software
Hold

Market Performance

WeakestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Progress Software has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 4.0E-4, Jensen Alpha of (0.07), Total Risk Alpha of (0.14) and Treynor Ratio of (0.02)
Progress Software advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Progress Software is not overpriced, please check all Progress Software fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Progress Software has a price to earning of 30.63 X, we recommend you to check out Progress Software market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Progress Software Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Progress Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: NetScout Systems, Inc. NTCT Shares Bought by AlphaQuest LLC - MarketBeat

Progress Software Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Progress Software's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Progress Software's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Progress Software daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Progress Software price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Progress Software returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Progress Software.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
-3.74
Potential Upside
3.20
Standard Deviation
2.29
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Progress Software historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Progress Stock Institutional Investors

The Progress Software's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Progress Software's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
846.5 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2025-06-30
838 K
Fmr Inc2025-06-30
780.2 K
Mizuho Markets Americas Llc2025-06-30
768 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
730.9 K
Swedbank Ab2025-06-30
722.7 K
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32025-06-30
722.1 K
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
704.4 K
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2025-06-30
675.9 K
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
6.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
5.8 M
Note, although Progress Software's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Progress Software Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash94.4M(129.3M)(8.9M)(23.3M)(20.9M)(19.9M)
Free Cash Flow186.1M168.4M206.3M229.5M263.9M277.1M
Depreciation76.8M105.3M103.0M151.7M174.5M183.2M
Other Non Cash Items(2.2M)(42.1M)15.8M21.5M24.8M26.0M
Capital Expenditures6.1M5.6M5.2M5.7M5.1M7.5M
Net Income95.1M70.2M68.4M73.1M84.1M88.3M
End Period Cash Flow251.8M127.0M118.1M94.8M109.0M127.0M
Dividends Paid31.1M31.6M31.5M786K707.4K672.0K
Investments11.4M(258.6M)(6.1M)(360.4M)(857.9M)0.0
Net Borrowings602K103.1M797.5M(130M)(149.5M)(142.0M)

Progress Software Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Progress Software or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Progress Software's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Progress stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.17
σ
Overall volatility
2.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Progress Software Volatility Alert

Progress Software exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.26 and kurtosis of 6.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Progress Software's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Progress Software's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Progress Software Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Progress Software's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Progress Software's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Progress Software and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Progress Software or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Progress Software's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Progress Software by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Progress Software to competition
FundamentalsProgress SoftwarePeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.0438-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding42.11 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.11 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.21 M4.71 M
Price To Earning30.63 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.53 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.79 X11.42 X
Revenue977.83 M9.43 B
Gross Profit831.48 M27.38 B
EBITDA159.52 M3.9 B
Net Income73.13 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents224.86 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.23 X5.01 X
Total Debt850.99 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.76 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations235.19 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.56 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.69 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.38 X4.89 X
Target Price65.5
Number Of Employees2.8 K18.84 K
Beta0.58-0.15
Market Capitalization1.75 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.46 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings127.37 M9.33 B
Working Capital(409.77 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Anthony Folger of 18293 shares of Progress Software subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Progress Software Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Progress . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Progress Software Target Price Consensus

Progress target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Progress Software's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   7  Strong Buy
Most Progress analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Progress stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Progress Software, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Progress Software Target Price Projection

Progress Software's current and average target prices are 41.41 and 65.50, respectively. The current price of Progress Software is the price at which Progress Software is currently trading. On the other hand, Progress Software's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Progress Software Market Quote on 6th of February 2026

Low Price40.8Odds
High Price42.0Odds

41.41

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Progress Software Target Price

Low Estimate59.61Odds
High Estimate72.71Odds

65.5

Historical Lowest Forecast  59.61 Target Price  65.5 Highest Forecast  72.71
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Progress Software and the information provided on this page.

Progress Software Analyst Ratings

Progress Software's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Progress Software stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Progress Software's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Progress Software's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Progress Software Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Progress Software? Buying financial instruments such as Progress Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Progress Software in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Small Growth Funds Thematic Idea Now

Small Growth Funds
Small Growth Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in stocks of small to mid-sized companies with above-average risk and growth rate that usually reinvest their earnings back into business. The Small Growth Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Growth Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Progress Stock Analysis

When running Progress Software's price analysis, check to measure Progress Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progress Software is operating at the current time. Most of Progress Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progress Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progress Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progress Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.