Peloton Interactive Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PTON Stock  USD 8.07  0.02  0.25%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Peloton Interactive is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Peloton Interactive's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Peloton Interactive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Peloton Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peloton Interactive guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Peloton and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Peloton Interactive. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Peloton Interactive Buy or Sell Advice

The Peloton recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Peloton Interactive. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Peloton Interactive or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Peloton Interactive's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Peloton InteractiveBuy Peloton Interactive
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves totally opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Peloton Interactive has a Mean Deviation of 3.26, Semi Deviation of 4.08, Standard Deviation of 4.2, Variance of 17.64, Downside Variance of 18.13 and Semi Variance of 16.66
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Peloton Interactive. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Peloton Interactive is not overpriced, please check all Peloton Interactive fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Peloton Interactive has a number of shares shorted of 57.38 M, we recommend you to check out Peloton Interactive market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Peloton Interactive Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Peloton Interactive had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Peloton Interactive has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.7 B. Net Loss for the year was (551.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.23 B.
Peloton Interactive currently holds about 1.25 B in cash with (66.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.7.
Peloton Interactive has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Peloton Interactive Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Peloton Interactive's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Peloton Interactive's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Peloton Interactive daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Peloton Interactive price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Peloton Interactive returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Peloton Interactive.
Mean Return
0.17
Value At Risk
-5.35
Potential Upside
6.99
Standard Deviation
4.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Peloton Interactive historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Peloton Interactive Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Peloton Interactive or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Peloton Interactive's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Peloton stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
4.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Peloton Interactive Volatility Alert

Peloton Interactive exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Peloton Interactive's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Peloton Interactive's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Peloton Interactive Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Peloton Interactive's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Peloton Interactive's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Peloton Interactive and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Peloton Interactive or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Peloton Interactive's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peloton Interactive by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Peloton Interactive to competition
FundamentalsPeloton InteractivePeer Average
Return On Equity-8.47-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0688-0.14
Profit Margin(0.15) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.29 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding363.32 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.80 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.05 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted57.38 M4.71 M
Price To Book16.00 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.10 X11.42 X
Revenue2.7 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.23 B27.38 B
EBITDA(330.8 M)3.9 B
Net Income(551.9 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.25 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.70 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.08 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.00 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.38 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(1.26) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(66.1 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio5.02 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.07) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.05 X4.89 X
Target Price9.29
Number Of Employees2.85 K18.84 K
Beta1.93-0.15
Market Capitalization2.96 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.19 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(5.48 B)9.33 B
Working Capital580.8 M1.48 B
Net Asset2.19 B
Note: Disposition of 17259 shares by Karen Boone of Peloton Interactive at 8.6273 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Peloton Interactive Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Peloton . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Peloton Interactive Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Peloton Interactive? Buying financial instruments such as Peloton Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Peloton Interactive in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Software Theme
Companies that develop and distribute software and software systems to individuals or business. The Software theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Software Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Peloton Interactive offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Peloton Interactive's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Peloton Interactive Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Peloton Interactive Stock:
Check out Peloton Interactive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Peloton Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peloton Interactive guide.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Leisure Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peloton Interactive. If investors know Peloton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Peloton Interactive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Peloton Interactive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Peloton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Peloton Interactive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Peloton Interactive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Peloton Interactive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Peloton Interactive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Peloton Interactive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Peloton Interactive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Peloton Interactive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.