Peloton Interactive Stock Analysis
| PTON Stock | USD 5.69 0.03 0.53% |
At the current market price of $5.69, PTON trades below the analyst target price of $7.88. The analysis below evaluates PTON against both fundamental value and technical price behavior. Elevated leverage relative to consumer discretionary peers shapes the risk profile for PTON, placing debt coverage and refinancing capacity alongside profitability as primary analytical inputs.
PTON has $1.98 billion in total debt, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.0 relative to consumer discretionary peers — debt reduction depends on sustained free cash flow generation, particularly given the impact of non-cash charges on reported earnings. Given Peloton Interactive's cash position, gross debt may overstate financial risk, making net debt a more relevant indicator of balance sheet positioning. Asset vs Debt
Equity vs Debt
Price Book 100.18 | Price Sales 1.01 | Shares Float 406.39 million | Wall Street Target Price 7.88 | Earnings Share 0.06 |
Peloton Interactive posted $2.5 billion in Total Revenue, a net loss of $118.9 million, and an operating loss of $34.2 million for the reported period.
Peloton |
Stock Analysis Notes
About 93.0% of PTON shares are owned by institutional investors. PTON has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.05. Peloton Interactive had not issued any dividends in recent years. Peloton Interactive posted $0.05 in Intangibles To Total Assets, $2.1 billion in Total Assets, and a Return On Assets of -6.8% for the reported period.Retained Earnings | $-4.79 billion |
Investor Insights and Alerts
| Peloton Interactive had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Peloton Interactive has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| PTON reported previous year's revenue of $2.49 billion. Net Loss for the year was -$118.9 million with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of $1.27 billion. | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Peloton Interactive Returns To Quarterly Loss In Q 2 2026 And Tests Margin Optimism |
Largest EPS Surprises
Analyst consensus for Peloton Interactive is reset after each reporting cycle, making the beat-or-miss outcome a recurring catalyst. The direction and magnitude of the surprise both matter for near-term price action. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-30 | 2025-09-30 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 50 | ||
2026-05-13 | 2026-03-31 | 0.0418 | 0.06 | 0.0182 | 43 | ||
2020-05-06 | 2020-03-31 | -0.18 | -0.2 | -0.02 | 11 |
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
ESG analysis for Peloton Interactive goes beyond values-based screening. It highlights practices with real financial consequences. ESG history tests whether the company is truly improving governance or just managing disclosure optics.
Thematic Classifications
Thematic classifications around Peloton Interactive help investors move from one security idea to a broader portfolio idea with a clearer economic narrative. The practical benefit is that this enables optimization around a trend, not just around one name that may or may not remain the best expression of that trend.
 | Corona OpportunityCoronavirus related entities to consider during and after the outbreak |
Top Institutional Investors Holding Peloton Stock
Peloton Interactive's institutional and insider mix shapes how the stock trades around earnings. Annual revenue is about 2.49 billion. Shares outstanding are near 417.16 million. Whether the institutional base is growing or shrinking quarter over quarter matters more than the current snapshot.
| Shares | Capital World Investors | 2025-12-31 | 7.7 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-12-31 | 6.6 M | Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc | 2025-12-31 | 6.3 M | Nantahala Capital Management, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 5.9 M | Quinn Opportunity Partners Llc | 2025-12-31 | 5.8 M | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2025-12-31 | 5.5 M | Nuveen, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 4.9 M | Hennessy Advisors, Inc. | 2026-03-31 | 4.5 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2025-12-31 | 4.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-12-31 | 39.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-12-31 | 32.6 M |
Market Capitalization
Peloton Interactive enters market cap screens as a mid-cap name with total equity value near $2.46 billion across leisure products companies. Additional sizing evidence includes about 417.16 million shares outstanding, a workforce of about 2,605 people, and enterprise value near $2.95 billion.Profitability
Profitability metrics test whether Peloton Interactive is building real earning power or just reporting one-time accounting gains. Annual revenue is about 2.49 billion. Comparing gross, operating, and net margins isolates where margin strength or pressure originates. PTON has Profit Margin (PM) of 1.0%. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 10.0%.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | -0.07 | -0.07 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | -0.02 | -0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | -6.00% | -7.00% | |
| Return On Equity | 26.00% | 27.00% |
Management Efficiency
PTON has return on total asset (ROA) of 5.89% which indicates that total assets are generating a positive return. This sits around the sector median. Peloton Interactive also reports a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of -847.35%, which indicates that stockholders experienced a net loss on invested capital.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Book Value Per Share | -1.22 | -1.16 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | -1.36 | -1.29 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | -7.52x | -7.15x | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 30.2x | 31.71x | |
| Price Fair Value | -7.52x | -7.15x | |
| Enterprise Value | $2.95 billion | $2.81 billion |
A leadership review of Peloton Interactive should test whether management is creating repeatable operating progress instead of relying on one-time gains or favorable cycle conditions. Operating efficiency, capital deployment, and guidance credibility together determine how much confidence management warrants.
Operating Margin | Three Month Return 29.32 | Short Long Term Debt Total | Ten Year Return -77.91 | Three Year Return -27.33 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 9th of May, Peloton Interactive maintains a quoted price of 5.69 per share. Short-term indicators show Coefficient Of Variation of 7372.93, semi deviation of 5.57, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0211. The model measures trend continuation and reversal probability using historical patterns. Comparative analytics measure deviation from sector averages.Price Movement Analysis - Bollinger Bands
This analysis covers fifteen data points across the selected time horizon. The Double Exponential Moving Average indicator was developed by Patrick Mulloy. It consists of a single exponential moving average and a double exponential moving average. This indicator is more responsive to Peloton Interactive changes than the simple moving average.
Insider Trading Activities
Insider activity around Peloton Interactive matters because officers and directors often act on business changes before the market catches up. At mid-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. These records work best as context, not as standalone buy-or-sell signals.
Outstanding Bonds
Outstanding bonds linked to Peloton Interactive can tell investors a great deal about how the company finances itself beyond common equity markets. At mid-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. Bond investors and equity investors often care about the same cash flows, but they rank the risks differently.
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley Jul Corp BondUS61744YAK47 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp BondUS61744YAL20 | View | |
| MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View | |
| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View |
Predictive Daily Indicators
Short-horizon indicators in Peloton Interactive turn fast-changing price action into clearer risk and execution cues. Used carefully, they can improve execution without tempting investors to overtrade every small swing.
Corporate Filings
8K | 7th of May 2026 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | |
13A | 6th of May 2026 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | |
13A | 30th of April 2026 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | |
F4 | 29th of April 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | |
F4 | 22nd of April 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | |
F4 | 17th of April 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | |
F4 | 3rd of April 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | |
13A | 27th of March 2026 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G |
Forecast Models
Forecasting applied to Peloton Interactive learns from price structure, volatility patterns, and trend strength rather than commentary alone. Financial data rarely stays stable for long, so the model is best used as a probability tool, not a price promise.Financial Strength and Earnings Quality Indicators
Peloton Interactive financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Peloton Interactive has to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Peloton Interactive's borrowing costs.| Piotroski F Score | 5 | Healthy | View |
| Beneish M Score | -4.27 | Unlikely Manipulator | View |
Debt to Cash Allocation
The debt-to-cash mix for Peloton Interactive helps explain how management balances flexibility and funding cost through a business cycle.
Total debt stands at approximately $1.98 billion with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.0. Peloton Interactive has a current ratio of 2.33, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Peloton Interactive's use of debt should be considered alongside its cash position and equity base.Total Assets Over Time
Assets Financed by Debt
Debt finances 88.0% of PTON's total assets — a significant share that elevates balance sheet risk.Peloton Interactive Debt Ratio | 88.0 |
Corporate Bonds Issued
Peloton Short Long Term Debt Total
Short Long Term Debt Total | $1.51 billion |
Stock Analysis Methodology
If Peloton Interactive fundamentals are improving, the diagnostic should show it through margins, leverage, and cash-flow trends. Peloton Interactive operates in Leisure Products within Consumer Durables & Apparel in Consumer Discretionary. Financial distress probability is estimated at 72%, flagging elevated solvency concern. Peloton Interactive trades at P/B of 100.18, P/S of 1.01.
Peloton Interactive figures are aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Michael Smolkin, Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Current Peloton Analyst Rating Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 7.88 | Buy | 21 | Odds |
The recommendation profile for Peloton Interactive reflects inputs from several research sources. The recommendation profile is informative when viewed alongside other fundamental measures. Peloton Interactive's analyst consensus is derived from the aggregate of buy, hold, and sell ratings issued by covering institutions. Consensus upgrades or downgrades for Peloton often have meaningful short-term impact on the stock price. Following analyst revisions on Peloton over time reveals trends in institutional sentiment. Consensus estimates serve as a benchmark for evaluating Peloton Interactive's stock performance over time.
Peloton Stock Analysis Indicators
Diagnostics snapshot includes 18 indicators such as Begin Period Cash Flow, Long Term Debt, Common Stock Shares Outstanding.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 750.9 million | |
| Long Term Debt | 1.29 billion | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 390.04 million | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | -413.7 million | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -5.1 million | |
| Tax Provision | 3.4 million | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 577.9 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.04 billion | |
| Cash | 1.04 billion | |
| Accounts Payable | 66.7 million | |
| Net Debt | 937.1 million | |
| 50 Day M A | 4.5416 | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 803.9 million | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 2.53 billion | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 687.8 million | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 14.6628 | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 16.8 million | |
| Stock Based Compensation | 229.6 million |