Peloton Interactive Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| PTON Stock | USD 4.39 1.52 25.72% |
Peloton Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Peloton Interactive's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Peloton Interactive's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Peloton Interactive fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Peloton Interactive's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1472 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2003 | Wall Street Target Price 10.2406 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0029 |
Using Peloton Interactive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peloton Interactive from the perspective of Peloton Interactive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Peloton Interactive using Peloton Interactive's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Peloton using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Peloton Interactive's stock price.
Peloton Interactive Short Interest
An investor who is long Peloton Interactive may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Peloton Interactive and may potentially protect profits, hedge Peloton Interactive with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.9923 | Short Percent 0.1624 | Short Ratio 7.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 66.1 M | 50 Day MA 6.3174 |
Peloton Relative Strength Index
Peloton Interactive Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Peloton Interactive's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Peloton. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Peloton can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Peloton Interactive. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Peloton Interactive's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Peloton Interactive.
Peloton Interactive Implied Volatility | 1.34 |
Peloton Interactive's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Peloton Interactive stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Peloton Interactive's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Peloton Interactive stock will not fluctuate a lot when Peloton Interactive's options are near their expiration.
Peloton Interactive after-hype prediction price | USD 5.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peloton Interactive to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Peloton contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Peloton Interactive will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0838% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Peloton Interactive trading at USD 4.39, that is roughly USD 0.003677 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Peloton Interactive's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Peloton Interactive options at the current volatility level of 1.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Peloton Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Peloton Interactive's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Peloton Interactive's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Peloton Interactive stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Peloton Interactive's open interest, investors have to compare it to Peloton Interactive's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Peloton Interactive is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Peloton. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Peloton Interactive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Peloton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peloton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peloton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| 0.2 | (0.88) |
| Check Peloton Interactive Volatility | Backtest Peloton Interactive | Information Ratio |
Peloton Interactive Trading Date Momentum
| On February 05 2026 Peloton Interactive was traded for 4.39 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 4.92 and the lowest listed price was 4.09 . The trading volume for the day was 90.6 M. The trading history from February 5, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 9.57% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Peloton Interactive to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Peloton Interactive
For every potential investor in Peloton, whether a beginner or expert, Peloton Interactive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peloton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peloton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peloton Interactive's price trends.Peloton Interactive Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Peloton Interactive stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Peloton Interactive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peloton Interactive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Peloton Interactive Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peloton Interactive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peloton Interactive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peloton Interactive stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Peloton Interactive entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15.3 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.83) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.74 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.88) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.52) |
Peloton Interactive Risk Indicators
The analysis of Peloton Interactive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Peloton Interactive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting peloton stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.6 | |||
| Variance | 21.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Peloton Interactive
The number of cover stories for Peloton Interactive depends on current market conditions and Peloton Interactive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Peloton Interactive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Peloton Interactive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Peloton Interactive Short Properties
Peloton Interactive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Peloton Interactive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Peloton Interactive often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Peloton Interactive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peloton Interactive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 390 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peloton Interactive to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Peloton Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peloton Interactive guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Leisure Products sector continue expanding? Could Peloton diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peloton Interactive. Anticipated expansion of Peloton directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Peloton Interactive data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.28) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Peloton Interactive using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Peloton Interactive's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Peloton Interactive's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Peloton Interactive's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Peloton Interactive should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Peloton Interactive's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.