Freightcar America Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RAIL Stock  USD 12.11  0.10  0.83%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Freightcar America is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Freightcar America's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Freightcar America Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Freightcar Stock please use our How to buy in Freightcar Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Freightcar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Freightcar America. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Freightcar America Buy or Sell Advice

The Freightcar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Freightcar America. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Freightcar America or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Freightcar America's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Freightcar AmericaBuy Freightcar America
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Freightcar America has a Mean Deviation of 4.12, Semi Deviation of 7.68, Standard Deviation of 6.53, Variance of 42.63, Downside Variance of 65.71 and Semi Variance of 58.97
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Freightcar America and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Freightcar America is not overpriced, please confirm all Freightcar America fundamentals, including its net income, short ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Freightcar America has a price to earning of 645.00 X, we urge you to verify Freightcar America market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Freightcar America Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Freightcar America had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 358.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.16 M.
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: FreightCar America, Inc. Could Be Less Than A Year Away From Profitability

Freightcar America Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Freightcar America's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Freightcar America's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Freightcar America daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Freightcar America price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Freightcar America returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Freightcar America.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-8.18
Potential Upside
10.11
Standard Deviation
6.53
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Freightcar America historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Freightcar Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
73.5 K
Citigroup Inc2024-09-30
66.9 K
Cubist Systematic Strategies, Llc2024-09-30
63.7 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
62.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
56.2 K
State Street Corp2024-09-30
54 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
51.8 K
Occudo Quantitative Strategies Lp2024-09-30
50.9 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
50 K
Allianz Asset Management Ag2024-09-30
1.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
582.6 K
Note, although Freightcar America's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Freightcar America Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(12.2M)(27.8M)11.7M2.6M2.4M2.5M
Free Cash Flow(68.8M)(57.7M)3.7M(8.0M)(7.2M)(6.8M)
Other Non Cash Items51.0M11.8M27.5M34.5M39.7M41.7M
Capital Expenditures9.8M2.3M7.8M12.7M14.6M9.7M
Net Income(86.1M)(41.4M)(38.8M)(23.6M)(21.2M)(20.2M)
End Period Cash Flow54.0M26.2M37.9M40.6M36.5M64.8M
Change To Inventory(17.9M)(12.4M)(8.5M)(60.9M)(54.8M)(52.1M)
Depreciation9.2M4.3M4.1M4.6M5.3M9.1M
Change Receivables(10.6M)11.2M(6.9M)(58K)(66.7K)(70.0K)
Change To Netincome23.4M50.5M19.7M640K736K699.2K
Investments(6.1M)(1.7M)(7.8M)(5.1M)(5.8M)(6.1M)
Net Borrowings9.3M56.8M31.0M(124.9M)(112.4M)(106.7M)

Freightcar America Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Freightcar America or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Freightcar America's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Freightcar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
6.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Freightcar America Volatility Alert

Freightcar America is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Freightcar America's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Freightcar America's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Freightcar America Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Freightcar America's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Freightcar America's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Freightcar America and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Freightcar America or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Freightcar America's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freightcar America by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Freightcar America to competition
FundamentalsFreightcar AmericaPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0883-0.31
Return On Asset0.0577-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation234.03 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding18.89 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders27.16 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions30.37 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted400.14 K4.71 M
Price To Earning645.00 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.46 X11.42 X
Revenue358.09 M9.43 B
Gross Profit51.16 M27.38 B
EBITDA(2.45 M)3.9 B
Net Income(23.59 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents17.6 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt73.85 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.80 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.75 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(2.58) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.77 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.04 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(4.31) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(30.08) X4.89 X
Target Price14.88
Number Of Employees2.02 K18.84 K
Beta2.01-0.15
Market Capitalization228.62 M19.03 B
Total Asset259.46 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(142.85 M)9.33 B
Working Capital43.06 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Fuentes Sierra Juan Carlos of 3891 shares of Freightcar America at 9.805 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Freightcar America Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Freightcar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Freightcar America Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Freightcar America? Buying financial instruments such as Freightcar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Freightcar America in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Chemicals
Chemicals Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Chemicals theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Chemicals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Freightcar America is a strong investment it is important to analyze Freightcar America's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Freightcar America's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Freightcar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Freightcar America Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Freightcar Stock please use our How to buy in Freightcar Stock guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freightcar America. If investors know Freightcar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Freightcar America listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(4.31)
Revenue Per Share
16.728
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.664
Return On Assets
0.0577
Return On Equity
(0.09)
The market value of Freightcar America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freightcar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freightcar America's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freightcar America's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freightcar America's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freightcar America's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freightcar America's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freightcar America is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freightcar America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.