Freightcar America Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| RAIL Stock | USD 12.31 0.37 3.10% |
Freightcar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Freightcar America's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Freightcar America's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Freightcar America fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Freightcar America's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.079 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.255 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.55 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.77 | Wall Street Target Price 15.3333 |
Using Freightcar America hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freightcar America from the perspective of Freightcar America response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Freightcar America using Freightcar America's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Freightcar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Freightcar America's stock price.
Freightcar America Short Interest
An investor who is long Freightcar America may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Freightcar America and may potentially protect profits, hedge Freightcar America with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.0355 | Short Percent 0.0287 | Short Ratio 1.74 | Shares Short Prior Month 387.7 K | 50 Day MA 10.015 |
Freightcar Relative Strength Index
Freightcar America Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Freightcar America's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Freightcar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Freightcar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Freightcar America. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Freightcar America's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Freightcar America.
Freightcar America Implied Volatility | 1.18 |
Freightcar America's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Freightcar America stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Freightcar America's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Freightcar America stock will not fluctuate a lot when Freightcar America's options are near their expiration.
Freightcar America after-hype prediction price | USD 12.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Freightcar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Freightcar America will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0738% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Freightcar America trading at USD 12.31, that is roughly USD 0.009079 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Freightcar America's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Freightcar America options at the current volatility level of 1.18%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Freightcar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Freightcar America's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Freightcar America's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Freightcar America stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Freightcar America's open interest, investors have to compare it to Freightcar America's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Freightcar America is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Freightcar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Freightcar America Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Freightcar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freightcar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freightcar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 9824.11 | 0.0301 |
| Check Freightcar America Volatility | Backtest Freightcar America | Information Ratio |
Freightcar America Trading Date Momentum
| On February 03 2026 Freightcar America was traded for 12.31 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 12.31 and the lowest listed price was 11.94 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 3, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 3.01% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Freightcar America to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Freightcar America
For every potential investor in Freightcar, whether a beginner or expert, Freightcar America's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Freightcar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Freightcar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Freightcar America's price trends.Freightcar America Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Freightcar America stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Freightcar America could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freightcar America by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Freightcar America Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Freightcar America stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Freightcar America shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Freightcar America stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Freightcar America entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Freightcar America Risk Indicators
The analysis of Freightcar America's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freightcar America's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freightcar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.19 | |||
| Variance | 17.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Freightcar America
The number of cover stories for Freightcar America depends on current market conditions and Freightcar America's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Freightcar America is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Freightcar America's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Freightcar America Short Properties
Freightcar America's future price predictability will typically decrease when Freightcar America's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Freightcar America often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Freightcar America's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Freightcar America's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freightcar America to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Freightcar Stock please use our How to buy in Freightcar Stock guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freightcar America. Anticipated expansion of Freightcar directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Freightcar America assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.079 | Earnings Share 2.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.417 | Return On Assets |
Freightcar America's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Freightcar's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Freightcar America's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Freightcar America's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Freightcar America's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Freightcar America should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Freightcar America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.