Freightcar America Stock Technical Analysis
| RAIL Stock | USD 13.59 0.12 0.89% |
As of the 11th of February 2026, Freightcar America shows the Mean Deviation of 3.01, downside deviation of 2.98, and Coefficient Of Variation of 555.71. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check existing technical drivers of Freightcar America, as well as the relationship between them. Please confirm Freightcar America variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if Freightcar America is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 13.59 per share. Given that Freightcar America has jensen alpha of 0.6106, we urge you to verify Freightcar America's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Freightcar America Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Freightcar, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FreightcarFreightcar | Build AI portfolio with Freightcar Stock |
Freightcar America Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 15.33 | Strong Buy | 2 | Odds |
Most Freightcar analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Freightcar stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Freightcar America, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Freightcar conference calls.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freightcar America. Anticipated expansion of Freightcar directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Freightcar America assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.079 | Earnings Share 2.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.417 | Return On Assets |
Freightcar America's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Freightcar's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Freightcar America's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Freightcar America's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Freightcar America's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Freightcar America should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Freightcar America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Freightcar America 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Freightcar America's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Freightcar America.
| 11/13/2025 |
| 02/11/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Freightcar America on November 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Freightcar America or generate 0.0% return on investment in Freightcar America over 90 days. Freightcar America is related to or competes with Roma Green, Scage Future, Blink Charging, Resources Connection, Freightos Limited, Innovative Solutions, and ZJK Industrial. FreightCar America, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells railcars and railcar components for... More
Freightcar America Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Freightcar America's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Freightcar America upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1581 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.58 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.04 |
Freightcar America Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Freightcar America's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Freightcar America's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Freightcar America historical prices to predict the future Freightcar America's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1522 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6106 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3154 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2246 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4368 |
Freightcar America February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1522 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4468 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 555.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.24 | |||
| Variance | 17.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1581 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6106 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3154 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2246 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4368 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.58 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.83) | |||
| Skewness | 1.63 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.75 |
Freightcar America Backtested Returns
Freightcar America appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Freightcar America secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which denotes the company had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Freightcar America's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.85% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Freightcar America's Mean Deviation of 3.01, coefficient of variation of 555.71, and Downside Deviation of 2.98 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Freightcar America holds a performance score of 16. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.72, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Freightcar America will likely underperform. Please check Freightcar America's jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Freightcar America's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.88 |
Very good predictability
Freightcar America has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Freightcar America time series from 13th of November 2025 to 28th of December 2025 and 28th of December 2025 to 11th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Freightcar America price movement. The serial correlation of 0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Freightcar America price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.88 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.66 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.52 |
Freightcar America technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Freightcar America Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Freightcar America across different markets.
About Freightcar America Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Freightcar America on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Freightcar America based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Freightcar America price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Freightcar America. By analyzing Freightcar America's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Freightcar America's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Freightcar America specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0911 | 0.0956 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.57 | 0.61 |
Freightcar America February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Freightcar help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freightcar from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Freightcar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1522 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4468 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 555.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.24 | |||
| Variance | 17.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1581 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6106 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3154 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2246 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4368 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.58 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.83) | |||
| Skewness | 1.63 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.75 |
Freightcar America February 11, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Freightcar stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5,521 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.22 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 13.58 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 13.58 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.07 |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Freightcar America. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. For more information on how to buy Freightcar Stock please use our How to buy in Freightcar Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freightcar America. Anticipated expansion of Freightcar directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Freightcar America assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.079 | Earnings Share 2.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.417 | Return On Assets |
Freightcar America's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Freightcar's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Freightcar America's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Freightcar America's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Freightcar America's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Freightcar America should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Freightcar America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.