Southern Missouri Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SMBC Stock | USD 65.26 0.70 1.08% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Southern Missouri Bancorp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Southern Missouri buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SMBC positions.
Check out Southern Missouri Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Southern and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Southern Missouri Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Southern |
Execute Southern Missouri Buy or Sell Advice
The Southern recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Southern Missouri Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Southern Missouri Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Southern Missouri's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Southern Missouri Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: SMBC MANUBANK Announces Multiple Key Hires Across Credit, Accounting, and Technology Functions to Support Growth |
Southern Missouri Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Southern Missouri's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Southern Missouri's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Southern Missouri daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Southern Missouri Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Southern Missouri returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Southern Missouri.
| Mean Return | 0.31 | Value At Risk | -3.04 | Potential Upside | 4.99 | Standard Deviation | 2.63 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Southern Missouri historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Southern Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 93.9 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 90 K | Siena Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 79.3 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-06-30 | 70.3 K | Alpine Investment Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 61 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 52.4 K | Td Global Investment Solutions – Td Epoch | 2024-06-30 | 43.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 42.1 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-09-30 | 36.9 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 788.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 705 K |
Southern Missouri Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 18.8M | 69.3M | (36.8M) | (32.8M) | 6.9M | 7.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 36.0M | 48.9M | 62.7M | 56.0M | 61.2M | 64.3M | |
| Depreciation | 5.6M | 5.4M | 5.9M | 7.6M | 10.1M | 10.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (3.0M) | (2.6M) | 13K | (5.2M) | (3.4M) | (3.3M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.5M | 5.6M | 7.2M | 8.6M | 9.5M | 10.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.3M | 2.9M | 4.6M | 6.0M | 9.0M | 9.5M | |
| Net Income | 27.5M | 47.2M | 47.2M | 39.2M | 50.2M | 52.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 54.2M | 123.6M | 86.8M | 54.0M | 60.9M | 63.9M | |
| Investments | (257.0M) | (97.1M) | (337.7M) | (213.4M) | (245.7M) | (233.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 17.6M | (12.5M) | (29.3M) | 67.8M | 61.0M | 58.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 4.4M | (446K) | 1.4M | 12.2M | 14.0M | 14.7M |
Southern Missouri Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Southern Missouri or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Southern Missouri's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Southern stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Southern Missouri Volatility Alert
Southern Missouri Bancorp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.34 and kurtosis of 10.97. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Southern Missouri's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Southern Missouri's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Southern Missouri Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Southern Missouri's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Southern Missouri's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Southern Missouri and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Southern Missouri or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Southern Missouri's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern Missouri by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Southern Missouri to competition |
| Fundamentals | Southern Missouri | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0108 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.31 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.41 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 804.72 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 11.28 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 14.94 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 51.46 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 76.37 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.78 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.44 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.49 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 164.33 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 135.89 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 73.2 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 50.18 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 49.74 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.39 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 125.21 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.15 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 44.84 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 70.27 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.73 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.36 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 68.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 693 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.95 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 728.06 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 512.32 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 311.38 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Five Year Return | 1.58 % | |
| Net Asset | 512.32 M |
Note: Disposition of 600 shares by Love Charles R of Southern Missouri at 56.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Southern Missouri Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Southern . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Southern Missouri Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Southern Missouri Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Southern Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Southern Missouri in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by states, cities, and towns as well as other public entities. The Munis Funds theme has 48 constituents at this time.
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Check out Southern Missouri Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern Missouri. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southern Missouri listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 0.86 | Earnings Share 4.36 | Revenue Per Share 14.371 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 |
The market value of Southern Missouri Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southern Missouri's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southern Missouri's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southern Missouri's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southern Missouri's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Missouri's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Missouri is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southern Missouri's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.