Southern Missouri Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

SMBC Stock  USD 60.66  0.49  0.80%   
Southern Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Southern Missouri stock prices and determine the direction of Southern Missouri Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Southern Missouri's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Southern Missouri's share price is at 53. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Southern Missouri, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Southern Missouri's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Southern Missouri Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Southern Missouri's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.247
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.47
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.175
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.65
Wall Street Target Price
68.3333
Using Southern Missouri hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Missouri Bancorp from the perspective of Southern Missouri response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Southern Missouri using Southern Missouri's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Southern using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Southern Missouri's stock price.

Southern Missouri Implied Volatility

    
  0.56  
Southern Missouri's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Southern Missouri Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Southern Missouri's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Southern Missouri stock will not fluctuate a lot when Southern Missouri's options are near their expiration.

Southern Missouri after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 60.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Missouri to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Southern contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Southern Missouri Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Southern Missouri trading at USD 60.66, that is roughly USD 0.0212 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Southern Missouri's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Southern Missouri Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Southern Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Southern Missouri's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Southern Missouri's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Southern Missouri stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Southern Missouri's open interest, investors have to compare it to Southern Missouri's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Southern Missouri is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Southern. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Southern Missouri Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Southern Missouri Bancorp has current Accumulation Distribution of 729.69. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Southern Missouri is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Southern Missouri Bancorp to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Southern Missouri trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Southern Missouri VolatilityBacktest Southern MissouriInformation Ratio  

Southern Missouri Trading Date Momentum

On January 28 2026 Southern Missouri Bancorp was traded for  60.66  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 61.49  and the lowest listed price was  60.24 . The trading volume for the day was 35.9 K. The trading history from January 28, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 1.37% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Southern Missouri to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Southern Missouri

For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern Missouri's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern Missouri's price trends.

Southern Missouri Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern Missouri stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern Missouri could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern Missouri by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Southern Missouri Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern Missouri stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern Missouri shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern Missouri stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern Missouri Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Southern Missouri Risk Indicators

The analysis of Southern Missouri's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Southern Missouri's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Southern Missouri

The number of cover stories for Southern Missouri depends on current market conditions and Southern Missouri's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern Missouri is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern Missouri's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Southern Missouri Short Properties

Southern Missouri's future price predictability will typically decrease when Southern Missouri's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Southern Missouri Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Southern Missouri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern Missouri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments653.9 M
When determining whether Southern Missouri Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Southern Missouri's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Southern Missouri Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Southern Missouri Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Missouri to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Southern diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern Missouri. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Southern Missouri data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.247
Dividend Share
0.96
Earnings Share
5.46
Revenue Per Share
16.288
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.088
Southern Missouri Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Southern's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Southern Missouri's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Southern Missouri's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Missouri's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Missouri is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southern Missouri's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.