Surf Air Mobility Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SRFM Stock | 2.68 0.17 6.77% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Surf Air Mobility is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Surf Air's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Surf Air Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Surf and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Surf Air Mobility. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Surf |
Execute Surf Air Buy or Sell Advice
The Surf recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Surf Air Mobility. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Surf Air Mobility or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Surf Air's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Surf Air Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Surf Air Mobility is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Surf Air Mobility appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Surf Air Mobility has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 60.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (250.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.55 M). | |
| Surf Air generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Surf Air Mobility has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Surf Air Mobility Unveils Four-Phase Transformation Plan and Updated Investor Presentation |
Surf Air Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Surf Air's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Surf Air's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Surf Air daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Surf Air Mobility price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Surf Air returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Surf Air.
| Mean Return | 1.62 | Value At Risk | -9.79 | Potential Upside | 22.44 | Standard Deviation | 12.43 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Surf Air historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Surf Air Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Surf Air or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Surf Air's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Surf stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Surf Air Volatility Alert
Surf Air Mobility is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Surf Air's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Surf Air's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Surf Air Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Surf Air's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Surf Air's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Surf Air and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Surf Air or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Surf Air's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Surf Air by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Surf Air to competition |
| Fundamentals | Surf Air | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | -1.78 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (2.23) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.78) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 85.63 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 15.51 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 16.46 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 41.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 641.58 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 2.86 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.37 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 60.51 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (4.55 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (247.27 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (250.7 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 47.45 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | (7.12) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (64.37 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.35 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (15.64) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 11.6 | |
| Number Of Employees | 786 | 18.84 K |
| Market Capitalization | 41.56 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 110.99 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (602.53 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (122.38 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 110.99 M |
Note: Acquisition by Palantir Technologies Inc. of 1270869 shares of Surf Air at 1.2479 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Surf Air Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Surf . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Surf Air Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Surf Air Mobility? Buying financial instruments such as Surf Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Surf Air in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive Funds theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Surf Air Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Surf Air. If investors know Surf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Surf Air listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (15.64) | Revenue Per Share 10.839 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 4.225 | Return On Assets (1.78) |
The market value of Surf Air Mobility is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Surf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Surf Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Surf Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Surf Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Surf Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Surf Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Surf Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Surf Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.