Surf Air Mobility Stock Volatility
| SRFM Stock | 2.51 0.46 22.44% |
Surf Air is extremely dangerous given 3 months investment horizon. Surf Air Mobility owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.67% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Surf Air Mobility Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0696, coefficient of variation of 1250.91, and Semi Deviation of 9.82 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Surf Air's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Surf Air Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Surf daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Surf's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Surf Air volatility.
Surf |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Surf Air's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Surf Air's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Surf Air can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Surf Air at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Surf stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Surf Air's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Surf Stock
Moving against Surf Stock
| 0.63 | FLYX | flyExclusive, | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | CNI | Canadian National Railway Fiscal Year End 28th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
Surf Air Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Surf Air's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Surf stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Surf stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Surf Air's beta of 1.44 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Surf Air stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Surf Air Mobility is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Surf Air's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Surf Air's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Surf Air Mobility Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Surf Air correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Surf Beta |
Surf standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 12.68 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Surf Air's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Surf Air's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in surf stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Surf Air.
Surf Air Mobility Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Surf Air stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Surf Air's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Surf Air's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Surf Air's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Surf Air's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Surf Air's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Surf Air's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Surf Air's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Surf Air Mobility Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Surf Air Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4416 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Surf Air will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Surf Air or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Surf Air's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Surf stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Surf Air Mobility has an alpha of 0.8534, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Surf Air Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Surf Air Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Surf Air is 758.03. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 160.76 and standard deviation of 12.68. The mean deviation of Surf Air Mobility is currently at 9.2. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.75
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Surf Air Stock Return Volatility
Surf Air historical daily return volatility represents how much of Surf Air stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 12.6791% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7668% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Surf Air Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Surf Air or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Surf Air may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Surf's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Surf Air and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Surf Air fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 10 M | 5.8 M | |
| Market Cap | 61.2 M | 58.1 M |
Surf Air's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Surf Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Surf Air's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Surf Air's volatility to invest better
Higher Surf Air's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Surf Air Mobility stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Surf Air Mobility stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Surf Air Mobility investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Surf Air's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Surf Air's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Surf Air Investment Opportunity
Surf Air Mobility has a volatility of 12.68 and is 16.47 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Surf Air Mobility is higher than 96 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Surf Air Mobility to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Surf Air to be traded at 3.14 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Surf Air Mobility and DJI is 0.09 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Surf Air Mobility and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Surf Air Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Surf Air's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Surf Air's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Surf Air stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0696 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6874 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 8.81 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.82 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 10.45 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1250.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Surf Air Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Surf Air as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Surf Air's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Surf Air's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Surf Air Mobility.
When determining whether Surf Air Mobility is a strong investment it is important to analyze Surf Air's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Surf Air's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Surf Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Surf Air Mobility. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Surf Air. If investors know Surf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Surf Air listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (15.64) | Revenue Per Share 10.839 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 4.225 | Return On Assets (1.78) |
The market value of Surf Air Mobility is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Surf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Surf Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Surf Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Surf Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Surf Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Surf Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Surf Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Surf Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.