Surf Air Mobility Stock Price Prediction
| SRFM Stock | 2.68 0.17 6.77% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.19) | EPS Estimate Current Year (7.30) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.20) | Wall Street Target Price 11.6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.05) |
Using Surf Air hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Surf Air Mobility from the perspective of Surf Air response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Surf Air to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Surf because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Surf Air after-hype prediction price | USD 2.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Surf |
Surf Air After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Surf Air at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Surf Air or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Surf Air, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Surf Air Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Surf Air's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Surf Air's historical news coverage. Surf Air's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 15.17, respectively. We have considered Surf Air's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Surf Air is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Surf Air Mobility is based on 3 months time horizon.
Surf Air Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Surf Air is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Surf Air backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Surf Air, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.91 | 12.51 | 0.02 | 0.28 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.68 | 2.66 | 0.75 |
|
Surf Air Hype Timeline
Surf Air Mobility is at this time traded for 2.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.28. Surf is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.75%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.91%. The volatility of related hype on Surf Air is about 8410.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.96. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 15.64. Surf Air Mobility had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:7 split on the 19th of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Surf Air Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Surf Air Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Surf Air's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Surf Air's future price movements. Getting to know how Surf Air's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Surf Air may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNLFF | Canlan Ice Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.70) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.03 | |
| ASO | Academy Sports Outdoors | 1.19 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.99 | (3.25) | 9.63 | |
| VRRM | Verra Mobility Corp | (0.23) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.49 | (2.88) | 14.00 | |
| NYXH | Nyxoah | 0.06 | 7 per month | 2.14 | (0.05) | 5.40 | (3.60) | 11.03 | |
| FOSL | Fossil Group | 0.11 | 9 per month | 3.77 | (0.02) | 8.55 | (6.31) | 19.38 | |
| JBGS | JBG SMITH Properties | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.58 | (2.38) | 9.14 | |
| JDSPY | JD Sports Fashion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.76 | (6.21) | 26.98 | |
| LIND | Lindblad Expeditions Holdings | 0.03 | 8 per month | 2.18 | 0.11 | 4.92 | (3.83) | 29.57 |
Surf Air Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Surf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Surf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Surf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Surf Air Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Surf Air stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Surf Air Mobility, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Surf Air based on analysis of Surf Air hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Surf Air's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Surf Air's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ROE | 0.21 | 0.53 | 3.24 | 3.4 | Income Quality | 0.67 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 0.46 |
Story Coverage note for Surf Air
The number of cover stories for Surf Air depends on current market conditions and Surf Air's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Surf Air is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Surf Air's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Surf Air Short Properties
Surf Air's future price predictability will typically decrease when Surf Air's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Surf Air Mobility often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Surf Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Surf Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 M |
Check out Surf Air Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Surf Air. If investors know Surf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Surf Air listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (15.64) | Revenue Per Share 10.839 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 4.225 | Return On Assets (1.78) |
The market value of Surf Air Mobility is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Surf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Surf Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Surf Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Surf Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Surf Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Surf Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Surf Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Surf Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.