Timberland Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TSBK Stock | USD 32.39 0.66 2.00% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Timberland Bancorp is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Timberland Bancorp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Timberland Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Timberland Stock please use our How to buy in Timberland Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Timberland and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Timberland Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Timberland |
Execute Timberland Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice
The Timberland recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Timberland Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Timberland Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Timberland Bancorp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Timberland Bancorp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Timberland Bancorp paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 210 shares by Jonathan Fischer of Timberland Bancorp at 33.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Timberland Bancorp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Timberland Bancorp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Timberland Bancorp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Timberland Bancorp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Timberland Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Timberland Bancorp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Timberland Bancorp.
| Mean Return | 0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.37 | Potential Upside | 3.66 | Standard Deviation | 2.38 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Timberland Bancorp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Timberland Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 142 K | Keeley-teton Advisors, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 135.4 K | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 133.3 K | Kiley Juergens Wealth Management | 2024-09-30 | 121.2 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 108.5 K | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 97.3 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-06-30 | 94.8 K | Westport Asset Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 80.9 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 69.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 617 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 568.2 K |
Timberland Bancorp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 171.4M | 265.7M | (263.4M) | (188.0M) | (169.2M) | (160.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 31.9M | 28.7M | 25.6M | 29.9M | 34.4M | 36.1M | |
| Depreciation | 2.8M | 3.0M | 2.8M | 2.7M | 3.1M | 1.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.0M | 273K | 1.9M | 377K | 433.6K | 411.9K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.0M | 895K | 911K | 1.1M | 995.4K | 1.2M | |
| Net Income | 24.3M | 27.6M | 23.6M | 27.1M | 31.2M | 32.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 314.5M | 580.2M | 316.8M | 128.7M | 148.0M | 111.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | (7.1M) | (8.6M) | (7.2M) | (8.3M) | (7.4M) | (7.1M) | |
| Investments | (153.5M) | (9.5M) | (334.4M) | (170.2M) | (153.2M) | (145.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (3.7M) | 5.2M | 721K | 2.2M | 2.5M | 2.7M |
Timberland Bancorp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Timberland Bancorp or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Timberland Bancorp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Timberland stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0072 |
Timberland Bancorp Volatility Alert
Timberland Bancorp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.01 and Jensen Alpha of -0.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Timberland Bancorp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Timberland Bancorp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Timberland Bancorp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Timberland Bancorp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Timberland Bancorp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Timberland Bancorp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Timberland Bancorp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Timberland Bancorp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Timberland Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Timberland Bancorp to competition |
| Fundamentals | Timberland Bancorp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0129 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.33 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.44 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 104.47 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.96 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 64.99 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 24.46 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.80 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.07 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.55 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 105.94 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 68.17 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 30.63 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 27.12 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 446.04 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 54.07 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 20 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 8.21 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 30.83 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 31 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.17 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.01 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 12.5 | |
| Beta | 0.65 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 263.08 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.92 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 215.53 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.58 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.92 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.95 |
Note: Disposition of 1790 shares by Jonathan Fischer of Timberland Bancorp at 33.02 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Timberland Bancorp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Timberland . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Timberland Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Timberland Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Timberland Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Timberland Bancorp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Office Supplies
Companies producing and selling office supplies, and accessories. The Office Supplies theme has 37 constituents at this time.
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Check out Timberland Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Timberland Stock please use our How to buy in Timberland Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Timberland Bancorp. If investors know Timberland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Timberland Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 0.95 | Earnings Share 3.01 | Revenue Per Share 9.225 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Timberland Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Timberland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Timberland Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Timberland Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Timberland Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Timberland Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timberland Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timberland Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timberland Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.