United Parcel Service Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| UPS Stock | USD 137.54 2.72 2.02% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding United Parcel Service is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell United Parcel Service given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards United Parcel. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for United Parcel Service, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as United and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. United Parcel Service. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
United |
Execute United Parcel Buy or Sell Advice
The United recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on United Parcel Service. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in United Parcel Service or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute United Parcel's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
United Parcel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Icon Wealth Advisors LLC Has 5.06 Million Position in United Parcel Service, Inc. |
United Parcel Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of United Parcel's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of United Parcel's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of United Parcel daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use United Parcel Service price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of United Parcel returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for United Parcel.
| Mean Return | 0.12 | Value At Risk | -1.72 | Potential Upside | 2.03 | Standard Deviation | 1.34 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of United Parcel historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
United Stock Institutional Investors
The United Parcel's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase United Parcel's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 9.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 8.2 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 7.1 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 6.7 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-06-30 | 6.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 6.5 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-06-30 | 6.2 M | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 6.1 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 5.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 64.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 55.4 M |
United Parcel Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 871M | 672M | 4.3B | (4.7B) | (2.4B) | (2.3B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.3B | 5.0B | 10.8B | 9.3B | 5.1B | 3.9B | |
| Depreciation | 2.4B | 2.7B | 3.0B | 3.2B | 3.4B | 2.0B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 688M | 5.3B | (2.7B) | (2.3B) | 259M | 258.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.2B | 3.4B | 3.4B | 5.1B | 5.4B | 5.6B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 6.4B | 5.4B | 4.2B | 4.8B | 5.2B | 3.3B | |
| Net Income | 4.4B | 1.4B | 12.9B | 11.5B | 6.7B | 4.4B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.2B | 5.9B | 10.3B | 5.6B | 3.2B | 3.6B | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.9B | 4.9B | (172M) | (249M) | (286.4M) | (272.0M) | |
| Investments | 335M | 150M | (3.8B) | (1.6B) | (9.0B) | (8.5B) | |
| Change Receivables | (717M) | (1.6B) | (2.1B) | (322M) | (289.8M) | (304.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.4B | (851M) | (2.8B) | (2.3B) | (2.1B) | (2.0B) |
United Parcel Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to United Parcel or Air Freight & Logistics sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that United Parcel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a United stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0083 |
United Parcel Volatility Alert
United Parcel Service has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.63 and kurtosis of 2.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure United Parcel's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact United Parcel's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.United Parcel Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing United Parcel's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze United Parcel's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between United Parcel and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as United Parcel or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of United Parcel's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Parcel by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare United Parcel to competition |
| Fundamentals | United Parcel | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0763 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 135.23 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 731.37 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 72.23 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 13.65 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 14.87 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.83 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.27 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 90.96 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 25.09 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 13.15 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 6.71 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.6 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 13.15 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 26.73 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.41 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.39 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.76 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 10.24 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.78 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.62 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.71 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 149.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 500 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.98 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 115.05 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 70.86 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 21.05 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.74 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Kevin Warsh of 214 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
United Parcel Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as United . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 97335.5 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.011152 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 137.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 137.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.58 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.72 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.98 |
About United Parcel Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell United Parcel Service? Buying financial instruments such as United Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis
When running United Parcel's price analysis, check to measure United Parcel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Parcel is operating at the current time. Most of United Parcel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Parcel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Parcel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Parcel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.