United Parcel Service Stock Performance
| UPS Stock | USD 105.99 2.29 2.21% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, United Parcel holds a performance score of 12. The entity has a beta of 0.99, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. United Parcel returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, United Parcel is expected to follow. Please check United Parcel's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether United Parcel's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Parcel Service are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, United Parcel unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 2.21 | Five Day Return (3.26) | Year To Date Return 4.92 | Ten Year Return 13.72 | All Time Return 55.57 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0633 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 6.56 | Dividend Date 2025-12-04 | Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-17 |
| United Parcel dividend paid on 4th of December 2025 | 12/04/2025 |
1 | Bernstein Lifts UPS Price Target on Margin Improvement Outlook | 01/12/2026 |
2 | Investors Heavily Search United Parcel Service, Inc. Here is What You Need to Know | 01/15/2026 |
3 | JPMorgan Cautious on United Parcel Service Amid Expected Share Pullback | 01/21/2026 |
4 | UPS Pilots Support H.R. 7191 the Scholten-Bresnahan Fatigued Pilot Protection Act | 01/22/2026 |
5 | Is It Time To Revisit UPS After Recent Share Price Weakness | 01/23/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 25014 shares by Norman Brothers of United Parcel subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/26/2026 |
7 | UPS explains why it plans to eliminate up to 30,000 jobs in 2026 | 01/27/2026 |
8 | UPS Plans to Continue Delivering its 6-Yielding Dividend in 2026 | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 6.1 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -4.7 B |
United Parcel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 9,248 in United Parcel Service on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,351 from holding United Parcel Service or generate 14.61% return on investment over 90 days. United Parcel Service is generating 0.2382% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4766% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than United, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
United Parcel Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 105.99 | 90 days | 105.99 | about 11.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Parcel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.52 (This United Parcel Service probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon United Parcel has a beta of 0.99. This usually implies United Parcel Service market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, United Parcel is expected to follow. Additionally United Parcel Service has an alpha of 0.277, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). United Parcel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for United Parcel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Parcel Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.United Parcel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Parcel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Parcel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Parcel Service, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Parcel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
United Parcel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Parcel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Parcel Service can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 4th of December 2025 United Parcel paid $ 1.64 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: UPS Plans to Continue Delivering its 6-Yielding Dividend in 2026 |
United Parcel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Parcel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Parcel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 853 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 B |
United Parcel Fundamentals Growth
United Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of United Parcel, and United Parcel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on United Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.34 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0702 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 113.65 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 738.99 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 14.87 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.60 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.99 X | ||||
| Revenue | 88.6 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 19.95 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 10.89 B | ||||
| Net Income | 5.57 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.89 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 13.15 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 32.29 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.41 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.39 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 19.11 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 8.45 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 6.56 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 87.98 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 73.09 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 20.15 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 2.87 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 13.21 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 10.7 B | ||||
About United Parcel Performance
Assessing United Parcel's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into United Parcel's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the United Parcel is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 4.70 | 6.05 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.14 | 0.22 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.34 | 0.33 |
Things to note about United Parcel Service performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about United Parcel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for United Parcel Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 4th of December 2025 United Parcel paid $ 1.64 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: UPS Plans to Continue Delivering its 6-Yielding Dividend in 2026 |
- Analyzing United Parcel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether United Parcel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining United Parcel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating United Parcel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of United Parcel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of United Parcel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into United Parcel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis
When running United Parcel's price analysis, check to measure United Parcel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Parcel is operating at the current time. Most of United Parcel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Parcel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Parcel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Parcel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.