United Parcel Valuation

UPS Stock  USD 134.82  3.45  2.63%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. United Parcel Service has a current Real Value of $156.39 per share. The regular price of the company is $134.82. Our model measures the value of United Parcel Service from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.31, shares outstanding of 731.37 M, and Operating Margin of 0.09 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting United Parcel's valuation include:
Price Book
6.8251
Enterprise Value
135.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.4809
Price Sales
1.2687
Forward PE
15.3374
Undervalued
Today
134.82
Please note that United Parcel's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of United Parcel Service is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing United Parcel's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the United stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of United Parcel Service. Since United Parcel is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of United Stock. However, United Parcel's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  134.82 Real  156.39 Target  179.74 Hype  134.98 Naive  135.66
The intrinsic value of United Parcel's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence United Parcel's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
121.34
Downside
156.39
Real Value
157.73
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of United Parcel Service helps investors to forecast how United stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of United Parcel more accurately as focusing exclusively on United Parcel's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.821.871.89
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
133.64134.98136.32
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
4.114.304.48
Details
30 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
163.56179.74199.51
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use United Parcel's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of United Parcel's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against United Parcel's closest peers.

United Parcel Cash

3.55 Billion

United Valuation Trend

United Parcel's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of United Parcel's financial worth over time. Using both United Parcel's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

United Revenue by Product

United Parcel Total Value Analysis

United Parcel Service is at this time projected to have company total value of 135.23 B with market capitalization of 115.05 B, debt of 26.73 B, and cash on hands of 5.6 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the United Parcel fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
135.23 B
115.05 B
26.73 B
5.6 B

United Parcel Investor Information

About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.71. United Parcel Service recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.62. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. Based on the analysis of United Parcel's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, United Parcel Service may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.120.1005
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities7.2 B10.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income6.4 B9.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

United Parcel Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. United Parcel has an asset utilization ratio of 128.37 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.28 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that United Parcel Service is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid

United Parcel Ownership Allocation

United Parcel Service shows a total of 731.37 Million outstanding shares. The majority of United Parcel Service outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in United Parcel to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in United Parcel Service. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of United Parcel Service as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on November 11, 2024, Representative Ro Khanna of US Congress acquired $15k to $50k worth of United Parcel Service's common stock.

United Parcel Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 90.96 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 6.71 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 25.09 B.

United Parcel Past Distributions to stockholders

About United Parcel Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines United Parcel's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of United Parcel Service based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of United Parcel. We calculate exposure to United Parcel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of United Parcel's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit17.2 B18.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.10  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.07  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.19  0.18 

United Parcel Quarterly Retained Earnings

20.55 Billion

United Parcel's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether United Parcel's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of United Parcel can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of United Parcel represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of United, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

United Parcel Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, United Parcel's Dividends Paid is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Dividend Yield is likely to gain to 0.04 in 2024, whereas Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to drop 0.66 in 2024. . Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to gain to about 25.8 B in 2024, whereas Retained Earnings are likely to drop slightly above 12.5 B in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid5.4 B5.6 B
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.04 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.80  0.66 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.97  1.46 
There are various types of dividends United Parcel can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of United shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from United Parcel Service directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When United pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of United Parcel by the value of the dividends paid out.

United Parcel Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as United Parcel does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding860 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.374
Forward Price Earnings15.3374

United Parcel Current Valuation Indicators

United Parcel's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final United Parcel's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as United Parcel, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use United Parcel's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes United Parcel's worth.

Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis

When running United Parcel's price analysis, check to measure United Parcel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Parcel is operating at the current time. Most of United Parcel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Parcel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Parcel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Parcel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.