Valneva SE (Austria) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VLA Stock  EUR 2.02  0.07  3.35%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Valneva SE is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Valneva SE's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Valneva SE Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Valneva and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Valneva SE. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Valneva SE Buy or Sell Advice

The Valneva recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valneva SE. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valneva SE or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valneva SE's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Valneva SEBuy Valneva SE
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Valneva SE has a Mean Deviation of 2.03, Standard Deviation of 2.84 and Variance of 8.06
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Valneva SE. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Valneva SE is not overpriced, please validate all Valneva SE fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the revenue and current ratio .

Valneva SE Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Valneva SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 438.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (73.42 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (13.12 M).
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Valneva SE Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Valneva SE's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valneva SE's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valneva SE daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valneva SE price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valneva SE returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valneva SE.
Mean Return
-0.75
Value At Risk
-5.47
Potential Upside
3.73
Standard Deviation
2.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valneva SE historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Valneva SE Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valneva SE or Valneva sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valneva SE's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valneva stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
2.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Valneva SE Volatility Alert

Valneva SE exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.86 and kurtosis of 2.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valneva SE's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valneva SE's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Valneva SE Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Valneva SE's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valneva SE's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valneva SE and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valneva SE or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valneva SE's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valneva SE by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Valneva SE to competition
FundamentalsValneva SEPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.86-0.31
Return On Asset-0.18-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.53 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding76.5 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.56 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions21.62 %39.21 %
Price To Earning239.23 X28.72 X
Price To Sales1.31 X11.42 X
Revenue438.74 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(13.12 M)27.38 B
EBITDA37.72 M3.9 B
Net Income(73.42 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents69.94 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.11 X5.01 X
Total Debt73.72 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity55.90 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.56 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations76.9 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.71) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees76218.84 K
Beta0.99-0.15
Market Capitalization554.21 M19.03 B
Z Score4.28.72

Valneva SE Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valneva . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Valneva SE Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Valneva SE? Buying financial instruments such as Valneva Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Valneva SE in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Air Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Valneva Stock

Valneva SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Valneva Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Valneva with respect to the benefits of owning Valneva SE security.