Xponential Fitness Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| XPOF Stock | USD 15.67 0.33 2.06% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Xponential Fitness is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Xponential Fitness buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding XPOF positions.
Check out Xponential Fitness Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Xponential Stock please use our How to Invest in Xponential Fitness guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Xponential and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Xponential Fitness. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
Xponential |
Execute Xponential Fitness Buy or Sell Advice
The Xponential recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Xponential Fitness. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Xponential Fitness or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Xponential Fitness' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Xponential Fitness Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Xponential Fitness had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Xponential Fitness currently holds 406.62 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Xponential Fitness has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Xponential Fitness' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 318.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 217.78 M. | |
| Xponential Fitness has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 100.0% of Xponential Fitness outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Xponential Fitness Trading 10.1 percent Higher Whats Next |
Xponential Fitness Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Xponential Fitness' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Xponential Fitness' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Xponential Fitness daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Xponential Fitness price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Xponential Fitness returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Xponential Fitness.
| Mean Return | 0.53 | Value At Risk | -6.36 | Potential Upside | 7.08 | Standard Deviation | 5.00 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Xponential Fitness historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Xponential Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-09-30 | 541.1 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 538.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 489.6 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 456.2 K | Jcp Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 446.8 K | Gratia Capital, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 359.2 K | Caption Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 298.5 K | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2024-09-30 | 279.6 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 265.4 K | Nut Tree Capital Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Voss Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M |
Xponential Fitness Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (1.4M) | (768K) | (3.9M) | (3.5M) | (3.2M) | (3.0M) | |
| Investments | (4.6M) | (1.4M) | (14.6M) | (11.6M) | (13.4M) | (14.0M) | |
| Change In Cash | 2.0M | 10.0M | 16.1M | (276K) | (317.4K) | (301.5K) | |
| Net Borrowings | 8.9M | 31.3M | (54.7M) | 4.4M | 4.0M | 3.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (3.6M) | 9.6M | 35.5M | 26.0M | 30.0M | 31.4M | |
| Depreciation | 7.7M | 10.2M | 18.0M | 29.9M | 34.4M | 36.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (6.6M) | 34.7M | 5.0M | 6K | 5.4K | 5.1K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.9M | 4.9M | 16.1M | 9.4M | 10.8M | 9.0M | |
| Net Income | (13.6M) | (51.4M) | 2.9M | (1.7M) | (2.0M) | (2.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 11.3M | 21.3M | 37.4M | 37.1M | 42.7M | 23.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 15.1M | (5.1M) | 33.9M | 34.4M | 39.5M | 21.2M |
Xponential Fitness Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Xponential Fitness or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Xponential Fitness' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Xponential stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Xponential Fitness Volatility Alert
Xponential Fitness shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Xponential Fitness' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Xponential Fitness' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Xponential Fitness Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Xponential Fitness' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Xponential Fitness' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Xponential Fitness and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Xponential Fitness or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Xponential Fitness' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xponential Fitness by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Xponential Fitness to competition |
| Fundamentals | Xponential Fitness | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.29 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0441 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.09) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 883.08 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 32.29 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.07 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.06 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 58.03 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 430.20 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.37 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 318.66 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 217.78 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 67.98 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (1.71 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 27.05 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.00 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 406.62 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.56 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.89 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (4.84) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 35.42 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.24 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.15) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.93 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 19.56 | |
| Number Of Employees | 310 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 772.85 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 528.7 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (630.13 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.94 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Haase Bruce N of 1874 shares of Xponential Fitness subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Xponential Fitness Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xponential . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10860.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.46) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.84 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.33) |
About Xponential Fitness Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Xponential Fitness? Buying financial instruments such as Xponential Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Xponential Fitness Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Xponential Stock please use our How to Invest in Xponential Fitness guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xponential Fitness. If investors know Xponential will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xponential Fitness listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.15) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Xponential Fitness is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xponential that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xponential Fitness' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xponential Fitness' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xponential Fitness' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xponential Fitness' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xponential Fitness' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xponential Fitness is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xponential Fitness' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.