Xponential Fitness Stock Market Value
| XPOF Stock | USD 14.94 0.57 3.97% |
| Symbol | Xponential |
Xponential Fitness Price To Book Ratio
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xponential Fitness. If investors know Xponential will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xponential Fitness listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.15) | Revenue Per Share 10.372 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 | Return On Assets 0.0441 |
The market value of Xponential Fitness is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xponential that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xponential Fitness' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xponential Fitness' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xponential Fitness' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xponential Fitness' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xponential Fitness' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xponential Fitness is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xponential Fitness' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Xponential Fitness 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xponential Fitness' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xponential Fitness.
| 11/30/2023 |
| 11/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Xponential Fitness on November 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xponential Fitness or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xponential Fitness over 360 days. Xponential Fitness is related to or competes with Planet Fitness, Bowlero Corp, JAKKS Pacific, Acushnet Holdings, OneSpaWorld Holdings, Funko, and Callaway Golf. Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness franchisor in the United States and i... More
Xponential Fitness Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xponential Fitness' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xponential Fitness upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.016 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 35.52 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.96 |
Xponential Fitness Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xponential Fitness' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xponential Fitness' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xponential Fitness historical prices to predict the future Xponential Fitness' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0416 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0605 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.56) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0223 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1742 |
Xponential Fitness Backtested Returns
At this point, Xponential Fitness is somewhat reliable. Xponential Fitness shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0378, which attests that the company had a 0.0378% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Xponential Fitness, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check out Xponential Fitness' Downside Deviation of 3.43, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1842, and Mean Deviation of 2.92 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Xponential Fitness has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains a market beta of 1.13, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Xponential Fitness returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Xponential Fitness is expected to follow. Xponential Fitness right now maintains a risk of 4.8%. Please check out Xponential Fitness potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Xponential Fitness will be following its historical returns.
Auto-correlation | -0.31 |
Poor reverse predictability
Xponential Fitness has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xponential Fitness time series from 30th of November 2023 to 28th of May 2024 and 28th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xponential Fitness price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Xponential Fitness price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.31 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.33 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.81 |
Xponential Fitness lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Xponential Fitness stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Xponential Fitness' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Xponential Fitness returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Xponential Fitness has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Xponential Fitness regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Xponential Fitness stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Xponential Fitness stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Xponential Fitness stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Xponential Fitness Lagged Returns
When evaluating Xponential Fitness' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Xponential Fitness stock have on its future price. Xponential Fitness autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Xponential Fitness autocorrelation shows the relationship between Xponential Fitness stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Xponential Fitness.
Regressed Prices |
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Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Xponential Fitness is a strong investment it is important to analyze Xponential Fitness' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Xponential Fitness' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Xponential Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Xponential Fitness Correlation, Xponential Fitness Volatility and Xponential Fitness Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xponential Fitness. For more detail on how to invest in Xponential Stock please use our How to Invest in Xponential Fitness guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Xponential Fitness technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.