Is Xponential Fitness Stock a Good Investment?
Xponential Fitness Investment Advice | XPOF |
- Examine Xponential Fitness' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Xponential Fitness' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Xponential Fitness navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space and any emerging trends that could impact Xponential Fitness' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Xponential Fitness' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Xponential Fitness is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Xponential Fitness pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Xponential Fitness' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Xponential Fitness stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Xponential Fitness is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Examine Xponential Fitness Stock
Researching Xponential Fitness' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. Xponential Fitness recorded a loss per share of 1.15. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Xponential Fitness is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Xponential Fitness' research are outlined below:
| Xponential Fitness is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Xponential Fitness appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Xponential Fitness currently holds 406.62 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Xponential Fitness has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Xponential Fitness' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 318.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 217.78 M. | |
| Xponential Fitness has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 100.0% of Xponential Fitness outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Xponential Fitness Appoints New Executives for Growth - TipRanks |
Xponential Fitness Quarterly Gross Profit |
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Xponential Fitness uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Xponential Fitness. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Xponential Fitness' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 7th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 7th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Xponential Fitness' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Xponential Fitness' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-11-07 | 2023-09-30 | 0.15 | 0.11 | -0.04 | 26 | ||
2024-05-02 | 2024-03-31 | 0.22 | 0.16 | -0.06 | 27 | ||
2024-02-29 | 2023-12-31 | 0.15 | 0.08 | -0.07 | 46 | ||
2023-08-03 | 2023-06-30 | 0.14 | 0.07 | -0.07 | 50 | ||
2022-03-03 | 2021-12-31 | -0.14 | -0.21 | -0.07 | 50 | ||
2023-05-04 | 2023-03-31 | 0.13 | -0.02 | -0.15 | 115 | ||
2021-11-11 | 2021-09-30 | -0.12 | -0.31 | -0.19 | 158 | ||
2022-08-11 | 2022-06-30 | 0.15 | -0.07 | -0.22 | 146 |
Xponential Fitness Target Price Consensus
Xponential target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Xponential Fitness' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 9 | Strong Buy |
Most Xponential analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Xponential stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Xponential Fitness, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationXponential Fitness Target Price Projection
Xponential Fitness' current and average target prices are 17.32 and 19.56, respectively. The current price of Xponential Fitness is the price at which Xponential Fitness is currently trading. On the other hand, Xponential Fitness' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Xponential Fitness Market Quote on 30th of January 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Xponential Fitness Target Price
Xponential Fitness Analyst Ratings
Xponential Fitness' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Xponential Fitness stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Xponential Fitness' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Xponential Fitness' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Xponential Fitness' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Xponential Fitness is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xponential Fitness backward and forwards among themselves. Xponential Fitness' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Xponential Fitness' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-09-30 | 541.1 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 538.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 489.6 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 456.2 K | Jcp Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 446.8 K | Gratia Capital, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 359.2 K | Caption Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 298.5 K | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2024-09-30 | 279.6 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 265.4 K | Nut Tree Capital Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Voss Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M |
Xponential Fitness' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 816.32 M.Market Cap |
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Xponential Fitness' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Equity | 1.49 | 1.56 |
Determining Xponential Fitness' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Xponential Fitness is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Xponential Fitness' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Xponential Fitness' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate Xponential Fitness' management efficiency
Xponential Fitness has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0441 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0441 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.2884) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Xponential Fitness' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Xponential Fitness manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Xponential Fitness' Return On Capital Employed is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Xponential Fitness' current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 1.56, while Return On Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to (0.07). At this time, Xponential Fitness' Other Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Xponential Fitness' current Intangibles To Total Assets is estimated to increase to 0.77, while Net Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to (141.3 M).| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | (3.19) | (3.35) | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | (13.76) | (14.45) | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 10.43 | 10.95 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | (44.44) | (42.22) | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 10.43 | 10.95 | |
| Price Fair Value | (44.44) | (42.22) | |
| Enterprise Value | 539.2 M | 479.3 M |
The management team at Xponential Fitness has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Beta 1.186 |
Basic technical analysis of Xponential Stock
As of the 30th of January, Xponential Fitness maintains the Downside Deviation of 3.76, mean deviation of 3.06, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 15.26. Relative to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Xponential Fitness, as well as the relationship between them. Please check out Xponential Fitness information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and kurtosis to decide if Xponential Fitness is priced fairly, providing market reflects its latest price of 17.32 per share. Given that Xponential Fitness has jensen alpha of 0.4841, we strongly advise you to confirm Xponential Fitness's prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Xponential Fitness' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Xponential Fitness insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Xponential Fitness' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Xponential Fitness insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Xponential Fitness' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Xponential Fitness issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Xponential Fitness uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Xponential bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Xponential Fitness has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| XEROX HLDGS P Corp BondUS98421MAB28 | View | |
| XEROX HLDGS P Corp BondUS98421MAA45 | View | |
| US98420EAB11 Corp BondUS98420EAB11 | View | |
| MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View |
Understand Xponential Fitness' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Xponential Fitness' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0917 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 15.26 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.35 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.76 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1005.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.99 | |||
| Variance | 24.94 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0824 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4841 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0406 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1095 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 15.25 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 37.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.35) | |||
| Skewness | 2.81 | |||
| Kurtosis | 16.01 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0917 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 15.26 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.35 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.76 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1005.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.99 | |||
| Variance | 24.94 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0824 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4841 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0406 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1095 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 15.25 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 37.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.35) | |||
| Skewness | 2.81 | |||
| Kurtosis | 16.01 |
Consider Xponential Fitness' intraday indicators
Xponential Fitness intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Xponential Fitness stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Xponential Fitness Corporate Filings
F3 | 23rd of January 2025 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
8K | 17th of January 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 2nd of January 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
10K | 26th of November 2024 An amendment to a previously filed Form 10-K | ViewVerify |
Xponential Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Xponential Fitness that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Xponential media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Xponential internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Xponential data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Xponential Fitness news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Xponential Fitness relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Xponential Fitness' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Xponential Fitness alpha.
Xponential Fitness Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Xponential Fitness can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Xponential Fitness Maximum Pain Price Across April 17th 2025 Option Contracts
Xponential Fitness' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Xponential Fitness close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Xponential Fitness' options.
Xponential Fitness Corporate Management
| Kevin Beygi | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Megan Moen | Executive Vice President - Finance | Profile | |
| Mark Grabowski | Chairman of the Board | Profile | |
| Sarah Luna | President | Profile |
Already Invested in Xponential Fitness?
The danger of trading Xponential Fitness is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Xponential Fitness is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Xponential Fitness. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Xponential Fitness is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Xponential Fitness is a strong investment it is important to analyze Xponential Fitness' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Xponential Fitness' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Xponential Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Xponential Fitness. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. For more detail on how to invest in Xponential Stock please use our How to Invest in Xponential Fitness guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xponential Fitness. If investors know Xponential will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xponential Fitness listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.15) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Xponential Fitness is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xponential that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xponential Fitness' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xponential Fitness' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xponential Fitness' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xponential Fitness' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Xponential Fitness' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Xponential Fitness is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xponential Fitness' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.