Citi Trends Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

CTRN Stock  USD 20.02  0.87  4.54%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Citi Trends. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Citi Trends over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Citi Trends' alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Citi Trends' market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.26
Alpha
0.3
Risk
2.85
Sharpe Ratio
0.2
Expected Return
0.58
Please note that although Citi Trends alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Citi Trends did 0.30  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Citi Trends stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Citi Trends has a beta of 1.26  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Citi Trends will likely underperform. At this time, Citi Trends' Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of November 2024, Price Fair Value is likely to grow to 1.63, while Book Value Per Share is likely to drop 14.08.
Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Citi Trends Backtesting, Citi Trends Valuation, Citi Trends Correlation, Citi Trends Hype Analysis, Citi Trends Volatility, Citi Trends History and analyze Citi Trends Performance.
To learn how to invest in Citi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Citi Trends guide.

Citi Trends Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Citi Trends market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Citi Trends long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Citi Trends. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Citi Trends' performance over market.
α0.30   β1.26

Citi Trends expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Citi Trends' Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Citi Trends performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Citi Trends Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Citi Trends stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Citi Trends shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Citi Trends stock market price indicators, traders can identify Citi Trends position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Citi Trends Return and Market Media

The median price of Citi Trends for the period between Fri, Aug 30, 2024 and Thu, Nov 28, 2024 is 18.75 with a coefficient of variation of 10.6. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 1.91, arithmetic mean of 17.99, and mean deviation of 1.53. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Acquisition by Heath David A of 1500 shares of Citi Trends at 14.5856 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/10/2024
2
Fund 1 Investments, LLC Increases Stake in Citi Trends Inc
09/27/2024
3
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket Ford, Clorox, Boeing, Pinterest and more
10/01/2024
4
Acquisition by Kenneth Seipel of 36 shares of Citi Trends subject to Rule 16b-3
10/02/2024
5
Fund 1 Investments, LLC Acquires Shares in Vera Bradley Inc
10/04/2024
6
Fund 1 Investments, LLC Acquires Additional Shares in Tile Shop Holdings Inc
10/17/2024
7
Disposition of 452 shares by Katrina George of Citi Trends at 24.1 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/31/2024
8
Fund 1 Investments, LLC Acquires Significant Stake in Tile Shop Holdings Inc
11/13/2024
9
Acquisition by Kenneth Seipel of 80000 shares of Citi Trends subject to Rule 16b-3
11/18/2024
10
Citi Trends CEO Ken Seipel sheds interim tagsees Q3 comparable store sales above guidance
11/19/2024
11
Citi Trends Appoints Kenneth D. Seipel as New Chief Executive Officer
11/22/2024

About Citi Trends Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Citi or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Citi Trends has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2020 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0013710.0117
Price To Sales Ratio0.310.51

Citi Trends Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Citi Trends' financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Citi Trends' leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Citi Trends' public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Citi Trends. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Citi Trends' management manipulating its earnings.
19th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

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Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether Citi Trends offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Citi Trends' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Citi Trends Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Citi Trends Stock:
Citi Trends technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Citi Trends technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Citi Trends trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...