Citi Trends Stock Performance

CTRN Stock  USD 44.62  0.99  2.17%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Citi Trends holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Citi Trends' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Citi Trends is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Citi Trends' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Citi Trends' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Citi Trends are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Citi Trends displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.41)
Five Day Return
5.58
Year To Date Return
9.82
Ten Year Return
145.61
All Time Return
190.51
Dividend Date
2020-03-17
Ex Dividend Date
2020-03-02
1
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11/12/2025
2
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3
Citi Trends Q3 Renewed EPS Losses Challenge Bullish Margin-Recovery Narrative
12/03/2025
4
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12/08/2025
5
Citi Trends Upgraded at Wall Street Zen
12/10/2025
6
Will Citi Trends Inc. stock gain from lower inflation - July 2025 Breakouts Weekly Return Optimization Alerts - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
7
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12/29/2025
8
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01/08/2026
9
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01/12/2026
10
Analysts Offer Insights on Consumer Cyclical Companies On Holding AG and Citi Trends - The Globe and Mail
01/14/2026
11
Precision Trading with Citi Trends Inc. Risk Zones - Stock Traders Daily
01/21/2026
12
Citi Trends shareholders have earned a 77 percent return over the last year
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow79.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-10.1 M

Citi Trends Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,870  in Citi Trends on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  691.00  from holding Citi Trends or generate 17.86% return on investment over 90 days. Citi Trends is currently generating 0.3167% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.9444% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Citi, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Citi Trends is expected to generate 3.91 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.91 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Citi Trends Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Citi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 44.62 90 days 44.62 
about 29.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Citi Trends to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.16 (This Citi Trends probability density function shows the probability of Citi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Citi Trends has a beta of 0.68 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Citi Trends average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Citi Trends will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citi Trends has an alpha of 0.3763, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Citi Trends Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Citi Trends

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citi Trends. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.3146.2549.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.0550.8353.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.0042.9545.89
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
51.8757.0063.27
Details

Citi Trends Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Citi Trends is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Citi Trends' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Citi Trends, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Citi Trends within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
3.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Citi Trends Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Citi Trends for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Citi Trends can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 753.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 314.76 M.
Citi Trends currently holds about 27.91 M in cash with (3.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.42.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Citi Trends shareholders have earned a 77 percent return over the last year

Citi Trends Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Citi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Citi Trends' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citi Trends' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61.1 M

Citi Trends Fundamentals Growth

Citi Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Citi Trends, and Citi Trends fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Citi Stock performance.

About Citi Trends Performance

By examining Citi Trends' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Citi Trends' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Citi Trends is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 109.29  115.21 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.11)(0.10)
Return On Capital Employed(0.16)(0.15)
Return On Assets(0.11)(0.10)
Return On Equity(0.44)(0.42)

Things to note about Citi Trends performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Citi Trends for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Citi Trends help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 753.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 314.76 M.
Citi Trends currently holds about 27.91 M in cash with (3.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.42.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Citi Trends shareholders have earned a 77 percent return over the last year
Evaluating Citi Trends' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Citi Trends' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Citi Trends' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Citi Trends' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Citi Trends' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Citi Trends' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Citi Trends' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Citi Trends' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Citi Trends' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Citi Trends' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Citi Trends' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Citi Trends offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Citi Trends' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Citi Trends Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Citi Trends Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Citi Trends. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Citi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Citi Trends guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Will Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Citi diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citi Trends. Projected growth potential of Citi fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Citi Trends data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Earnings Share
(1.97)
Revenue Per Share
98.763
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.101
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Understanding Citi Trends requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Citi's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Citi Trends' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Citi Trends' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Citi Trends' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Citi Trends should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Citi Trends' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.