Assured Guaranty Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

AGO Stock  USD 94.69  1.60  1.72%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Assured Guaranty. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Assured Guaranty over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Assured Guaranty's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Assured Guaranty's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.23
Alpha
0.15
Risk
1.73
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Expected Return
0.31
Please note that although Assured Guaranty alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Assured Guaranty did 0.15  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Assured Guaranty stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Assured Guaranty has a beta of 1.23  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Assured Guaranty will likely underperform. At this time, Assured Guaranty's Book Value Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of November 2024, Tangible Book Value Per Share is likely to grow to 103.54, while Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is likely to drop 3.12.

Enterprise Value

1.56 Billion

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Assured Guaranty Backtesting, Assured Guaranty Valuation, Assured Guaranty Correlation, Assured Guaranty Hype Analysis, Assured Guaranty Volatility, Assured Guaranty History and analyze Assured Guaranty Performance.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.

Assured Guaranty Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Assured Guaranty market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Assured Guaranty long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Assured Guaranty. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Assured Guaranty's performance over market.
α0.15   β1.23

Assured Guaranty expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Assured Guaranty's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Assured Guaranty performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Assured Guaranty Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Assured Guaranty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Assured Guaranty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Assured Guaranty stock market price indicators, traders can identify Assured Guaranty position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Assured Guaranty Return and Market Media

The median price of Assured Guaranty for the period between Wed, Aug 28, 2024 and Tue, Nov 26, 2024 is 82.56 with a coefficient of variation of 5.61. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 4.67, arithmetic mean of 83.33, and mean deviation of 3.81. The Stock received a lot of media exposure during the period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
 
Assured Guaranty dividend paid on 4th of September 2024
09/04/2024
1
Disposition of 18150 shares by Dominic Frederico of Assured Guaranty subject to Rule 16b-3
09/06/2024
2
Disposition of 3599 shares by Yukiko Omura of Assured Guaranty at 79.73 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/26/2024
3
14,100 Shares in Assured Guaranty Ltd. Purchased by Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund - MarketBeat
10/08/2024
4
Disposition of 10000 shares by Yukiko Omura of Assured Guaranty subject to Rule 16b-3
10/28/2024
5
Assured Guaranty Insures 920 Million of Bonds as Part of 1.95 Billion JFK Airport Terminal 6 Redevelopment Project
11/05/2024
6
JFK Millennium Partners Completes Nearly 2bn Bond Issuance for JFK Terminal 6 Redevelopment, Including 1.85bn in Green Bonds
11/07/2024
7
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Declares Quarterly Dividend of 0.31 per Common Share
11/08/2024
8
Assured Guaranty earnings beat by 1.08, revenue topped estimates
11/11/2024
9
Assured Guaranty Ltd Trading 3.14 percent Higher on Nov 12
11/12/2024
10
Q3 2024 Assured Guaranty Ltd Earnings Call Transcript
11/13/2024
11
Royce Associates LP Grows Stock Holdings in Assured Guaranty Ltd.
11/15/2024
12
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Announces Quarterly Dividend of 0.31
11/20/2024
13
Assured Guaranty Issues 140 Million Debt Service Reserve Guaran
11/25/2024

About Assured Guaranty Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Assured or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Assured Guaranty has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01630.01530.0118
Price To Sales Ratio5.734.62.7

Assured Guaranty Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Assured Guaranty's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Assured Guaranty's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Assured Guaranty's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Assured Guaranty. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Assured Guaranty's management manipulating its earnings.
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Build Portfolio with Assured Guaranty

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Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock:
Check out Assured Guaranty Backtesting, Assured Guaranty Valuation, Assured Guaranty Correlation, Assured Guaranty Hype Analysis, Assured Guaranty Volatility, Assured Guaranty History and analyze Assured Guaranty Performance.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Assured Guaranty technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Assured Guaranty technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Assured Guaranty trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...