Correlation Between Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Assured Guaranty with a short position of AXIS Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital

0.02
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Assured and AXIS is 0.02. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on AXIS Capital Holdings and Assured Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Assured Guaranty are associated (or correlated) with AXIS Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of AXIS Capital Holdings has no effect on the direction of Assured Guaranty i.e., Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Assured Guaranty is expected to generate 0.8 times more return on investment than AXIS Capital. However, Assured Guaranty is 1.25 times less risky than AXIS Capital. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. AXIS Capital Holdings is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,881  in Assured Guaranty on November 9, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  526.00  from holding Assured Guaranty or generate 5.92% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Assured Guaranty  vs.  AXIS Capital Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Assured Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy technical and fundamental indicators, Assured Guaranty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
AXIS Capital Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AXIS Capital Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, AXIS Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Assured Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, AXIS Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AXIS Capital will offset losses from the drop in AXIS Capital's long position.
The idea behind Assured Guaranty and AXIS Capital Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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