Correlation Between Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Armada Hflr Pr and Assured Guaranty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Armada Hflr with a short position of Assured Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty

-0.2
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Armada and Assured is -0.2. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Armada Hflr Pr and Assured Guaranty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Assured Guaranty and Armada Hflr is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Armada Hflr Pr are associated (or correlated) with Assured Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Assured Guaranty has no effect on the direction of Armada Hflr i.e., Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Armada Hflr is expected to generate 39.18 times less return on investment than Assured Guaranty. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Armada Hflr Pr is 1.79 times less risky than Assured Guaranty. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Assured Guaranty is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,299  in Assured Guaranty on October 7, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,001  from holding Assured Guaranty or generate 56.63% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy98.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

Armada Hflr Pr  vs.  Assured Guaranty

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Armada Hflr Pr 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Armada Hflr Pr has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong technical indicators, Armada Hflr is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
Assured Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Assured Guaranty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Armada Hflr and Assured Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Armada Hflr position performs unexpectedly, Assured Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Assured Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in Assured Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind Armada Hflr Pr and Assured Guaranty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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