Correlation Between Algonquin Power and National Fuel

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Algonquin Power and National Fuel at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Algonquin Power and National Fuel into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Algonquin Power Utilities and National Fuel Gas, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Algonquin Power and National Fuel and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Algonquin Power with a short position of National Fuel. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Algonquin Power and National Fuel.

Diversification Opportunities for Algonquin Power and National Fuel

-0.47
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Algonquin and National is -0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Algonquin Power Utilities and National Fuel Gas in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Fuel Gas and Algonquin Power is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Algonquin Power Utilities are associated (or correlated) with National Fuel. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Fuel Gas has no effect on the direction of Algonquin Power i.e., Algonquin Power and National Fuel go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Algonquin Power and National Fuel

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Algonquin Power Utilities is expected to under-perform the National Fuel. In addition to that, Algonquin Power is 1.01 times more volatile than National Fuel Gas. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. National Fuel Gas is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  6,061  in National Fuel Gas on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  285.00  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 4.7% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Algonquin Power Utilities  vs.  National Fuel Gas

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Algonquin Power Utilities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Algonquin Power Utilities has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors.
National Fuel Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Algonquin Power and National Fuel Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Algonquin Power and National Fuel

The main advantage of trading using opposite Algonquin Power and National Fuel positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Algonquin Power position performs unexpectedly, National Fuel can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Fuel will offset losses from the drop in National Fuel's long position.
The idea behind Algonquin Power Utilities and National Fuel Gas pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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