Correlation Between Auburn National and Old Second

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Auburn National and Old Second at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Auburn National and Old Second into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Auburn National Bancorporation and Old Second Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Auburn National and Old Second and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Auburn National with a short position of Old Second. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Auburn National and Old Second.

Diversification Opportunities for Auburn National and Old Second

-0.47
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Auburn and Old is -0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Auburn National Bancorp. and Old Second Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old Second Bancorp and Auburn National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Auburn National Bancorporation are associated (or correlated) with Old Second. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old Second Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Auburn National i.e., Auburn National and Old Second go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Auburn National and Old Second

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Auburn National Bancorporation is expected to generate 1.62 times more return on investment than Old Second. However, Auburn National is 1.62 times more volatile than Old Second Bancorp. It trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Old Second Bancorp is currently generating about -0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,193  in Auburn National Bancorporation on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (45.00) from holding Auburn National Bancorporation or give up 2.05% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Auburn National Bancorp.  vs.  Old Second Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Auburn National Banc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Auburn National Bancorporation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental drivers, Auburn National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Old Second Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental drivers, Old Second is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Auburn National and Old Second Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Auburn National and Old Second

The main advantage of trading using opposite Auburn National and Old Second positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Auburn National position performs unexpectedly, Old Second can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old Second will offset losses from the drop in Old Second's long position.
The idea behind Auburn National Bancorporation and Old Second Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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