Correlation Between American Express and China Merchants

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Express and China Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Express and China Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Express and China Merchants Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Express and China Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Express with a short position of China Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Express and China Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for American Express and China Merchants

0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and China is 0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Express and China Merchants Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on China Merchants Bank and American Express is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Express are associated (or correlated) with China Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of China Merchants Bank has no effect on the direction of American Express i.e., American Express and China Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Express and China Merchants

Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Express is expected to generate 0.62 times more return on investment than China Merchants. However, American Express is 1.62 times less risky than China Merchants. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. China Merchants Bank is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  15,064  in American Express on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  15,066  from holding American Express or generate 100.01% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Express  vs.  China Merchants Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Express 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Express are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating basic indicators, American Express reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
China Merchants Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China Merchants Bank are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly fragile forward-looking signals, China Merchants may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

American Express and China Merchants Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Express and China Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Express and China Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, China Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in China Merchants will offset losses from the drop in China Merchants' long position.
The idea behind American Express and China Merchants Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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