Correlation Between Banc Of and Old Second

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Banc Of and Old Second at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Banc Of and Old Second into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Banc of California and Old Second Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Banc Of and Old Second and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Banc Of with a short position of Old Second. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Banc Of and Old Second.

Diversification Opportunities for Banc Of and Old Second

0.71
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Banc and Old is 0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Banc of California and Old Second Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old Second Bancorp and Banc Of is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Banc of California are associated (or correlated) with Old Second. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old Second Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Banc Of i.e., Banc Of and Old Second go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Banc Of and Old Second

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banc Of is expected to generate 1.67 times less return on investment than Old Second. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Banc of California is 2.24 times less risky than Old Second. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Old Second Bancorp is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,524  in Old Second Bancorp on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  347.00  from holding Old Second Bancorp or generate 22.77% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Banc of California  vs.  Old Second Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Banc of California 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Banc of California are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Banc Of is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Second Bancorp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Old Second exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Banc Of and Old Second Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Banc Of and Old Second

The main advantage of trading using opposite Banc Of and Old Second positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Banc Of position performs unexpectedly, Old Second can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old Second will offset losses from the drop in Old Second's long position.
The idea behind Banc of California and Old Second Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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