Correlation Between BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in BancFirst with a short position of Merchants Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp

-0.46
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between BancFirst and Merchants is -0.46. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merchants Bancorp and BancFirst is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on BancFirst are associated (or correlated) with Merchants Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merchants Bancorp has no effect on the direction of BancFirst i.e., BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days BancFirst is expected to generate 0.74 times more return on investment than Merchants Bancorp. However, BancFirst is 1.36 times less risky than Merchants Bancorp. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Merchants Bancorp is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,472  in BancFirst on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,156  from holding BancFirst or generate 49.06% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

BancFirst  vs.  Merchants Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
BancFirst 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BancFirst are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent basic indicators, BancFirst reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Merchants Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Merchants Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy forward indicators, Merchants Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if BancFirst position performs unexpectedly, Merchants Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merchants Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Merchants Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind BancFirst and Merchants Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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