Merchants Bancorp Stock Performance

MBIN Stock  USD 42.28  1.68  3.82%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Merchants Bancorp holds a performance score of 11. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.37, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Merchants Bancorp will likely underperform. Please check Merchants Bancorp's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Merchants Bancorp's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting forward indicators, Merchants Bancorp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.82)
Five Day Return
(6.42)
Year To Date Return
27.43
Ten Year Return
277.5
All Time Return
277.5
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0097
Payout Ratio
0.1085
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
0.41
Dividend Date
2026-04-01
1
Disposition of 3159 shares by Petrie Michael F. of Merchants Bancorp at 19.14 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/05/2025
2
Disposition of 1380 shares by Petrie Michael F. of Merchants Bancorp at 19.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
3
AI Stocks Why retail investors favor Merchants Bancorp stock - Trade Entry Report AI Optimized Trade Strategies - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
 
Merchants Bancorp dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026
01/02/2026
4
Acquisition by Sean Sievers of 6427 shares of Merchants Bancorp subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
5
Merchants Bancorp Reports Strong Q4 CY2025
01/28/2026
6
Does Merchants Bancorps Buyback and Stronger Balance Sheet Redefine Its Investment Story
02/02/2026
7
Disposition of 1383 shares by Petrie Michael F. of Merchants Bancorp at 20.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
8
A Look At Merchants Bancorp Valuation After New US100 Million Buyback And Weaker Earnings
02/04/2026
9
Disposition of 7149 shares by Petrie Michael F. of Merchants Bancorp at 20.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/06/2026
10
Is Merchants Bancorp A Community Lender In Nasdaq 100 Index Focus
02/09/2026
11
Acquisition by Obrien Patrick D. of 540 shares of Merchants Bancorp at 32.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/11/2026
12
Disposition of 100 shares by Petrie Michael F. of Merchants Bancorp at 20.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/17/2026
13
Disposition of 1502 shares by Petrie Michael F. of Merchants Bancorp at 20.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/18/2026
14
Merchants Bancorp Increases Quarterly Common Dividend by 10 Declares Quarterly Common and Preferred Dividends
02/19/2026
15
A Look At Merchants Bancorp Valuation After Its 10 percent Dividend Increase
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow476.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-195.7 M

Merchants Bancorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,295  in Merchants Bancorp on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  933.00  from holding Merchants Bancorp or generate 28.32% return on investment over 90 days. Merchants Bancorp is currently generating 0.4441% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.9541% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Merchants, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Merchants Bancorp is expected to generate 3.93 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.93 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Merchants Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Merchants Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 42.28 90 days 42.28 
about 16.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merchants Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.33 (This Merchants Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Merchants Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Merchants Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally Merchants Bancorp has an alpha of 0.3754, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Merchants Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Merchants Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merchants Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.4242.3745.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.0548.0350.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.4338.3841.34
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.0747.3352.54
Details

Merchants Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merchants Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merchants Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merchants Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merchants Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.37
σ
Overall volatility
4.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Merchants Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merchants Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merchants Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Merchants Bancorp currently holds about 472.79 M in cash with (341.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.97.
Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 2nd of January 2026 Merchants Bancorp paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At Merchants Bancorp Valuation After Its 10 percent Dividend Increase

Merchants Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Merchants Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Merchants Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merchants Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments880.9 M

Merchants Bancorp Fundamentals Growth

Merchants Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Merchants Bancorp, and Merchants Bancorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Merchants Stock performance.

About Merchants Bancorp Performance

By examining Merchants Bancorp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Merchants Bancorp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Merchants Bancorp is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.18 

Things to note about Merchants Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Merchants Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Merchants Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Merchants Bancorp currently holds about 472.79 M in cash with (341.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.97.
Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 2nd of January 2026 Merchants Bancorp paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At Merchants Bancorp Valuation After Its 10 percent Dividend Increase
Evaluating Merchants Bancorp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Merchants Bancorp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Merchants Bancorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Merchants Bancorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Merchants Bancorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Merchants Bancorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Merchants Bancorp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Merchants Bancorp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Merchants Bancorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Merchants Bancorp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Merchants Bancorp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Merchants Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Merchants Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Merchants Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Merchants Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Merchants Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
To learn how to invest in Merchants Stock, please use our How to Invest in Merchants Bancorp guide.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Will Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance sector continue expanding? Could Merchants diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merchants Bancorp. Expected growth trajectory for Merchants significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Merchants Bancorp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.30)
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
3.78
Revenue Per Share
12.288
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
Merchants Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Merchants's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Merchants Bancorp's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Merchants Bancorp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Merchants Bancorp's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Merchants Bancorp represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Merchants Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.