Correlation Between Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Byline Bancorp with a short position of Commerce Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares

0.86
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Byline and Commerce is 0.86. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Commerce Bancshares and Byline Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Byline Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Commerce Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Commerce Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Byline Bancorp i.e., Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Byline Bancorp is expected to generate 2.88 times less return on investment than Commerce Bancshares. In addition to that, Byline Bancorp is 1.28 times more volatile than Commerce Bancshares. It trades about 0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Commerce Bancshares is currently generating about 0.26 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  6,231  in Commerce Bancshares on November 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  378.00  from holding Commerce Bancshares or generate 6.07% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Byline Bancorp  vs.  Commerce Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Byline Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Byline Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly inconsistent basic indicators, Byline Bancorp showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Commerce Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Byline Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Commerce Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commerce Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Commerce Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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