Correlation Between Cocoa and Soybean Meal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cocoa and Soybean Meal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cocoa and Soybean Meal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cocoa and Soybean Meal Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cocoa and Soybean Meal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cocoa with a short position of Soybean Meal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cocoa and Soybean Meal.

Diversification Opportunities for Cocoa and Soybean Meal

0.24
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cocoa and Soybean is 0.24. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cocoa and Soybean Meal Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Soybean Meal Futures and Cocoa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cocoa are associated (or correlated) with Soybean Meal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Soybean Meal Futures has no effect on the direction of Cocoa i.e., Cocoa and Soybean Meal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cocoa and Soybean Meal

Assuming the 90 days horizon Cocoa is expected to generate 1.56 times more return on investment than Soybean Meal. However, Cocoa is 1.56 times more volatile than Soybean Meal Futures. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Soybean Meal Futures is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,113,700  in Cocoa on November 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (4,800) from holding Cocoa or give up 0.43% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cocoa  vs.  Soybean Meal Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cocoa are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Cocoa exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Soybean Meal Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Soybean Meal Futures are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Soybean Meal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Cocoa and Soybean Meal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cocoa and Soybean Meal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cocoa and Soybean Meal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cocoa position performs unexpectedly, Soybean Meal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Soybean Meal will offset losses from the drop in Soybean Meal's long position.
The idea behind Cocoa and Soybean Meal Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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