Correlation Between Commercial National and Finward Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commercial National and Finward Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commercial National and Finward Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commercial National Financial and Finward Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commercial National and Finward Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commercial National with a short position of Finward Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commercial National and Finward Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Commercial National and Finward Bancorp

-0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Commercial and Finward is -0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commercial National Financial and Finward Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Finward Bancorp and Commercial National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commercial National Financial are associated (or correlated) with Finward Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Finward Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Commercial National i.e., Commercial National and Finward Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commercial National and Finward Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commercial National Financial is expected to generate 1.23 times more return on investment than Finward Bancorp. However, Commercial National is 1.23 times more volatile than Finward Bancorp. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Finward Bancorp is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  889.00  in Commercial National Financial on November 8, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  164.00  from holding Commercial National Financial or generate 18.45% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy72.47%
ValuesDaily Returns

Commercial National Financial  vs.  Finward Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Commercial National 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commercial National Financial are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Commercial National may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.
Finward Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Finward Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

Commercial National and Finward Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Commercial National and Finward Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commercial National and Finward Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commercial National position performs unexpectedly, Finward Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Finward Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Finward Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Commercial National Financial and Finward Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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