Commercial National Financial Stock Market Value

CEFC Stock  USD 13.95  0.20  1.41%   
Commercial National's market value is the price at which a share of Commercial National trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Commercial National Financial investors about its performance. Commercial National is trading at 13.95 as of the 14th of February 2026, a 1.41% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 14.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Commercial National Financial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Commercial National over a given investment horizon. Check out Commercial National Correlation, Commercial National Volatility and Commercial National Performance module to complement your research on Commercial National.
Symbol

It's important to distinguish between Commercial National's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Commercial National should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Commercial National's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Commercial National 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Commercial National's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Commercial National.
0.00
11/16/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/14/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Commercial National on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Commercial National Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Commercial National over 90 days. Commercial National is related to or competes with Northeast Indiana, Harford Bank, FFW, Partners Bank, Lifestore Financial, Citba Financial, and MBT Bancshares. Commercial National Financial Corporation operates as the holding company for Commercial Bank that provides various bank... More

Commercial National Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Commercial National's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Commercial National Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Commercial National Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Commercial National's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Commercial National's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Commercial National historical prices to predict the future Commercial National's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1913.9514.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0313.7914.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Commercial National. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Commercial National's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Commercial National's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Commercial National.

Commercial National February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators

Commercial National Backtested Returns

At this point, Commercial National is very steady. Commercial National secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Commercial National Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Commercial National's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1161, mean deviation of 0.5594, and Downside Deviation of 0.9351 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.086%. Commercial National has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Commercial National's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Commercial National is expected to be smaller as well. Commercial National right now shows a risk of 0.76%. Please confirm Commercial National information ratio, treynor ratio, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and value at risk , to decide if Commercial National will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

Commercial National Financial has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Commercial National time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Commercial National price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Commercial National price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.83
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

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Other Information on Investing in Commercial Pink Sheet

Commercial National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Commercial Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Commercial with respect to the benefits of owning Commercial National security.