Correlation Between Citizens Financial and Old Second

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Citizens Financial and Old Second at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Citizens Financial and Old Second into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Citizens Financial Group and Old Second Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Citizens Financial and Old Second and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Citizens Financial with a short position of Old Second. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Citizens Financial and Old Second.

Diversification Opportunities for Citizens Financial and Old Second

-0.69
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Citizens and Old is -0.69. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Citizens Financial Group and Old Second Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old Second Bancorp and Citizens Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Citizens Financial Group are associated (or correlated) with Old Second. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old Second Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Citizens Financial i.e., Citizens Financial and Old Second go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Citizens Financial and Old Second

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Citizens Financial Group is expected to under-perform the Old Second. But the preferred stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Citizens Financial Group is 2.29 times less risky than Old Second. The preferred stock trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Old Second Bancorp is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,692  in Old Second Bancorp on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  177.00  from holding Old Second Bancorp or generate 10.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Citizens Financial Group  vs.  Old Second Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Citizens Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Citizens Financial Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Citizens Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Second Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Old Second may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Citizens Financial and Old Second Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Citizens Financial and Old Second

The main advantage of trading using opposite Citizens Financial and Old Second positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Citizens Financial position performs unexpectedly, Old Second can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old Second will offset losses from the drop in Old Second's long position.
The idea behind Citizens Financial Group and Old Second Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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