Correlation Between Citi Trends and Tillys

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Citi Trends and Tillys at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Citi Trends and Tillys into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Citi Trends and Tillys Inc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Citi Trends and Tillys and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Citi Trends with a short position of Tillys. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Citi Trends and Tillys.

Diversification Opportunities for Citi Trends and Tillys

-0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Citi and Tillys is -0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Citi Trends and Tillys Inc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Tillys Inc and Citi Trends is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Citi Trends are associated (or correlated) with Tillys. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Tillys Inc has no effect on the direction of Citi Trends i.e., Citi Trends and Tillys go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Citi Trends and Tillys

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Citi Trends is expected to generate 1.02 times more return on investment than Tillys. However, Citi Trends is 1.02 times more volatile than Tillys Inc. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Tillys Inc is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,060  in Citi Trends on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,168) from holding Citi Trends or give up 38.17% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Citi Trends  vs.  Tillys Inc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Citi Trends 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Citi Trends are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting basic indicators, Citi Trends displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Tillys Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Tillys Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.

Citi Trends and Tillys Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Citi Trends and Tillys

The main advantage of trading using opposite Citi Trends and Tillys positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Citi Trends position performs unexpectedly, Tillys can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tillys will offset losses from the drop in Tillys' long position.
The idea behind Citi Trends and Tillys Inc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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