Correlation Between Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Discover Financial Services and Merchants Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Discover Financial with a short position of Merchants Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp

0.2
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Discover and Merchants is 0.2. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Discover Financial Services and Merchants Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merchants Bancorp and Discover Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Discover Financial Services are associated (or correlated) with Merchants Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merchants Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Discover Financial i.e., Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Discover Financial is expected to generate 1.07 times less return on investment than Merchants Bancorp. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Discover Financial Services is 1.17 times less risky than Merchants Bancorp. It trades about 0.38 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Merchants Bancorp is currently generating about 0.35 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,600  in Merchants Bancorp on November 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  593.00  from holding Merchants Bancorp or generate 16.47% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Discover Financial Services  vs.  Merchants Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Discover Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Discover Financial Services are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak technical and fundamental indicators, Discover Financial unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Merchants Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak forward indicators, Merchants Bancorp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Discover Financial and Merchants Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Discover Financial position performs unexpectedly, Merchants Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merchants Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Merchants Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Discover Financial Services and Merchants Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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