Correlation Between Embraer SA and Triumph

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Embraer SA and Triumph at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Embraer SA and Triumph into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Embraer SA ADR and Triumph Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Embraer SA and Triumph and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Embraer SA with a short position of Triumph. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Embraer SA and Triumph.

Diversification Opportunities for Embraer SA and Triumph

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Embraer and Triumph is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Embraer SA ADR and Triumph Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Triumph Group and Embraer SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Embraer SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Triumph. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Triumph Group has no effect on the direction of Embraer SA i.e., Embraer SA and Triumph go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Embraer SA and Triumph

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Embraer SA is expected to generate 2.49 times less return on investment than Triumph. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Embraer SA ADR is 1.58 times less risky than Triumph. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Triumph Group is currently generating about 0.3 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,457  in Triumph Group on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  468.00  from holding Triumph Group or generate 32.12% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Embraer SA ADR  vs.  Triumph Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Embraer SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Embraer SA ADR are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, Embraer SA revealed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Triumph Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Triumph Group are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Triumph demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Embraer SA and Triumph Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Embraer SA and Triumph

The main advantage of trading using opposite Embraer SA and Triumph positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Embraer SA position performs unexpectedly, Triumph can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Triumph will offset losses from the drop in Triumph's long position.
The idea behind Embraer SA ADR and Triumph Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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