Correlation Between First Bancorp and Capitol Federal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Bancorp and Capitol Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Bancorp and Capitol Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Bancorp and Capitol Federal Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Bancorp and Capitol Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Bancorp with a short position of Capitol Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Bancorp and Capitol Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for First Bancorp and Capitol Federal

0.52
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Capitol is 0.52. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Bancorp and Capitol Federal Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Capitol Federal Financial and First Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Capitol Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Capitol Federal Financial has no effect on the direction of First Bancorp i.e., First Bancorp and Capitol Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Bancorp and Capitol Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Bancorp is expected to generate 1.35 times more return on investment than Capitol Federal. However, First Bancorp is 1.35 times more volatile than Capitol Federal Financial. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Capitol Federal Financial is currently generating about -0.23 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,423  in First Bancorp on October 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (43.00) from holding First Bancorp or give up 0.97% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Bancorp  vs.  Capitol Federal Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, First Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.
Capitol Federal Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Capitol Federal Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

First Bancorp and Capitol Federal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Bancorp and Capitol Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Bancorp and Capitol Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Capitol Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Capitol Federal will offset losses from the drop in Capitol Federal's long position.
The idea behind First Bancorp and Capitol Federal Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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