Capitol Federal Financial Stock Performance

CFFN Stock  USD 7.54  0.26  3.57%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Capitol Federal holds a performance score of 17. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.48, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Capitol Federal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Capitol Federal is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Capitol Federal's sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Capitol Federal's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Capitol Federal Financial are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Capitol Federal displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

Five Day Return
4.58
Year To Date Return
12.71
Ten Year Return
(36.96)
All Time Return
76.58
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0451
Payout Ratio
0.5357
Forward Dividend Rate
0.34
Dividend Date
2026-02-20
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-06
1
What hedge fund activity signals for Capitol Federal Financial Inc. stock - Take Profit Verified Momentum Watchlists - newser.com
11/14/2025
 
Capitol Federal dividend paid on 21st of November 2025
11/21/2025
2
Capitol Federal Financial declares 0.04 dividend
12/17/2025
3
Institution Moves Is Capitol Federal Financial Inc CFW stock attractive for dividend growth - Risk Management Risk Controlled Stock Alerts - moha.gov.vn
12/22/2025
4
Acquisition by Morris James G. of 6662 shares of Capitol Federal at 6.8067 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/24/2025
5
Acquisition by William Skrobacz of 10152 shares of Capitol Federal at 6.81 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
6
Market Review Can Capitol Federal Financial Inc CFW stock sustain revenue momentum - July 2025 Institutional Entry Point Confirmation Signals - moha.gov.vn
01/02/2026
7
Acquisition by Rick Jackson of 9147 shares of Capitol Federal at 8.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
8
How Capitol Federal Financial Inc. stock compares to industry benchmarks - Stock Rotation Strategies Optimize Entry Exit With Smart Signals - ulpravda.ru
01/07/2026
9
Capitol Federal Financial Share Price Crosses Above 200-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat
01/15/2026
 
Capitol Federal dividend paid on 23rd of January 2026
01/23/2026
11
Provident Financial Q4 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
01/27/2026
12
Capitol Federal Financial Releases Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By 0.01 EPS
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow217.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-206.6 M

Capitol Federal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  610.00  in Capitol Federal Financial on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  144.00  from holding Capitol Federal Financial or generate 23.61% return on investment over 90 days. Capitol Federal Financial is currently generating 0.3673% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6584% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Capitol, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Capitol Federal is expected to generate 2.21 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Capitol Federal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Capitol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.54 90 days 7.54 
about 1.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capitol Federal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.05 (This Capitol Federal Financial probability density function shows the probability of Capitol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Capitol Federal has a beta of 0.48 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capitol Federal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capitol Federal Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capitol Federal Financial has an alpha of 0.2881, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capitol Federal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capitol Federal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capitol Federal Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.887.549.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.808.4610.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.207.859.51
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.057.758.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capitol Federal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capitol Federal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capitol Federal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capitol Federal Financial.

Capitol Federal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capitol Federal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capitol Federal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capitol Federal Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capitol Federal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Capitol Federal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capitol Federal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capitol Federal Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 23rd of January 2026 Capitol Federal paid $ 0.04 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Capitol Federal Financial Releases Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By 0.01 EPS

Capitol Federal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capitol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capitol Federal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capitol Federal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding130 M
Cash And Short Term Investments248.7 M

Capitol Federal Fundamentals Growth

Capitol Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Capitol Federal, and Capitol Federal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Capitol Stock performance.

About Capitol Federal Performance

By examining Capitol Federal's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Capitol Federal's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Capitol Federal is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.05 

Things to note about Capitol Federal Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capitol Federal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Capitol Federal Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 23rd of January 2026 Capitol Federal paid $ 0.04 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Capitol Federal Financial Releases Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By 0.01 EPS
Evaluating Capitol Federal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Capitol Federal's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Capitol Federal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Capitol Federal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Capitol Federal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Capitol Federal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Capitol Federal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Capitol Federal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Capitol Federal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Capitol Federal's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Capitol Federal's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Capitol Federal Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Capitol Federal's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Capitol Federal Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Capitol Federal Financial Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Capitol Federal Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Capitol diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capitol Federal. Projected growth potential of Capitol fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Capitol Federal data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.328
Dividend Share
0.34
Earnings Share
0.56
Revenue Per Share
1.617
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.204
Investors evaluate Capitol Federal Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Capitol Federal's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Capitol Federal's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Capitol Federal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Capitol Federal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Capitol Federal's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.