Capitol Federal Financial Stock Performance
| CFFN Stock | USD 7.69 -0.06 -0.77% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Balanced
Weak | Strong |
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Capitol Federal Financial is weaker than 11% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. This score becomes more informative when compared with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of very unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Capitol Federal displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakout point. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -0.77 | Five Day Return 0.26 | Year To Date Return 12.92 | Ten Year Return -42.35 | All Time Return 80.09 |
Forward Dividend Yield 4.4% | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.34 | Dividend Date 2026-02-20 | Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-06 |
1 | Capitol Federal Financial to Issue Quarterly Dividend of 0.09 on February 20 th | 02/04/2026 |
2 | US Markets Hidden Treasures Three Undiscovered Gems With Strong Potential | 02/18/2026 |
| Capitol Federal dividend paid on 20th of February 2026 | 02/20/2026 |
3 | Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick Why Capitol Federal Financial is a Great Choice | 02/23/2026 |
4 | Acquisition by Thompson Jeffrey R of 7000 shares of Capitol Federal at 5.7298 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/06/2026 |
5 | Disposition of 1919 shares by Rick Jackson of Capitol Federal at 6.45 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/30/2026 |
6 | Acquisition by Barry Anthony S. of 1687 shares of Capitol Federal at 12.5 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/16/2026 |
7 | Heritage Financial Q 1 Earnings Surpass Estimates | 04/23/2026 |
Performance Related Modules
Earnings links to analyst estimate history and revisions, Ownership shows shareholder mix, Profitability focuses on margin and return ratios, Liquidity covers cash-flow strength and short-term funding capacity, and Fundamentals groups the broader financial ratio set.
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 672.00 in Capitol Federal Financial on January 26, 2026 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 97.00 from holding Capitol Federal Financial or generated 14.43% return on investment over 90 days. Capitol Federal Financial is currently generating a 0.2223% daily expected return and carries 1.5151% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Capitol exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 87% of comparable stocks, and CFFN has trailed 96% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Mean reversion in Capitol Stock pricing reflects the documented tendency for stocks to gravitate toward equilibrium. While this pattern holds broadly, certain stocks can remain mispriced for extended periods before correction.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.69 | 90 days | 7.69 | about 8.93 |
Using a normal distribution model, the likelihood of Capitol Federal moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.93 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (The curve shows where outcomes have been clustering for Capitol Stock over the next 90 days). The curve width gives a practical read on how much uncertainty surrounds Capitol Stock over this horizon.
Capitol Federal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capitol Federal
Forecasting Capitol Federal Financial requires combining quantitative signals with evolving sentiment and fundamental trends. Each approach has strengths and limitations, making diversified forecasting strategies especially important for Capitol Federal Financial.Mean reversion is the tendency of Capitol Federal's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing Capitol Federal's price extremes to fundamental value.
Primary Risk Indicators
Over the past two decades, the stock market has experienced significant volatility affecting Capitol Federal. Capitol Federal has seen dramatic price moves that have reshaped risk profiles for its holders.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Targeted alerts for Capitol Federal provide the responsiveness needed to evaluate market conditions and assess potential outcomes. These notifications for Capitol Federal Financial help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.| Capitol Federal has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heritage Financial Q 1 Earnings Surpass Estimates |
Price Density Drivers
Price movements in Capitol Federal are influenced by the balance of buyer and seller positioning dynamics. Monitoring key indicators provides context for understanding when price movements are fundamental versus tactical.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Capitol Federal Fundamentals Growth
The market price of Capitol Stock is shaped by investors' expectations for Capitol Federal's financial performance. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a role in Capitol Stock pricing.
| Return On Equity | 0.0705 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0075 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.35 | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.47 | |||
| Current Valuation | 2.58 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 127.25 M | |||
| Price To Earnings | 14.66 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.94 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 4.67 X | |||
| Revenue | 417.4 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 209.74 M | |||
| EBITDA | 90.74 M | |||
| Net Income | 68.03 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 56.07 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.41 X | |||
| Total Debt | 1.95 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.20 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.18 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 55.04 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.56 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 978.57 M | |||
| Total Asset | 9.78 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | -87.33 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Capitol Federal risk-adjusted performance measures whether returns compensate for the volatility borne by holders. Sharpe and Sortino ratios frame return efficiency relative to total and downside risk. Capitol Federal shows ROE of 7.05%, ROA of 0.7%.
Capitol Federal Financial inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board