Correlation Between First Commonwealth and First Ottawa

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Commonwealth and First Ottawa at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Commonwealth and First Ottawa into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Commonwealth Financial and First Ottawa Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Commonwealth and First Ottawa and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Commonwealth with a short position of First Ottawa. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Commonwealth and First Ottawa.

Diversification Opportunities for First Commonwealth and First Ottawa

0.74
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and First is 0.74. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Commonwealth Financial and First Ottawa Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Ottawa Bancshares and First Commonwealth is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Commonwealth Financial are associated (or correlated) with First Ottawa. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Ottawa Bancshares has no effect on the direction of First Commonwealth i.e., First Commonwealth and First Ottawa go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Commonwealth and First Ottawa

Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Commonwealth Financial is expected to generate 3.9 times more return on investment than First Ottawa. However, First Commonwealth is 3.9 times more volatile than First Ottawa Bancshares. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Ottawa Bancshares is currently generating about 0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,697  in First Commonwealth Financial on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  201.00  from holding First Commonwealth Financial or generate 11.84% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Commonwealth Financial  vs.  First Ottawa Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Commonwealth 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Commonwealth Financial are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady fundamental indicators, First Commonwealth reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Ottawa Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Ottawa Bancshares are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat conflicting basic indicators, First Ottawa may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

First Commonwealth and First Ottawa Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Commonwealth and First Ottawa

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Commonwealth and First Ottawa positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Commonwealth position performs unexpectedly, First Ottawa can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Ottawa will offset losses from the drop in First Ottawa's long position.
The idea behind First Commonwealth Financial and First Ottawa Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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