Correlation Between First Mid and Penns Woods

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Mid and Penns Woods at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Mid and Penns Woods into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Mid Illinois and Penns Woods Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Mid and Penns Woods and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Mid with a short position of Penns Woods. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Mid and Penns Woods.

Diversification Opportunities for First Mid and Penns Woods

0.25
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Penns is 0.25. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Mid Illinois and Penns Woods Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Penns Woods Bancorp and First Mid is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Mid Illinois are associated (or correlated) with Penns Woods. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Penns Woods Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Mid i.e., First Mid and Penns Woods go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Mid and Penns Woods

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Mid is expected to generate 1.94 times less return on investment than Penns Woods. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Mid Illinois is 1.06 times less risky than Penns Woods. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Penns Woods Bancorp is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,955  in Penns Woods Bancorp on November 9, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,235  from holding Penns Woods Bancorp or generate 63.17% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Mid Illinois  vs.  Penns Woods Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Mid Illinois 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Mid Illinois has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders.
Penns Woods Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Penns Woods Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Penns Woods exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Mid and Penns Woods Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Mid and Penns Woods

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Mid and Penns Woods positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Mid position performs unexpectedly, Penns Woods can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Penns Woods will offset losses from the drop in Penns Woods' long position.
The idea behind First Mid Illinois and Penns Woods Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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