First Mid Illinois Stock Analysis

FMBH Stock  USD 43.94  0.23  0.53%   
At the current market price of $43.94, FMBH trades below the analyst target price of $49.0. For FMBH, the valuation setup centers on whether current pricing reflects persistent margin pressure and the company's ability to stabilize free cash flow under a highly leveraged capital structure. Elevated leverage relative to financials peers shapes the risk profile for FMBH, placing debt coverage and refinancing capacity alongside profitability as primary analytical inputs.
FMBH carries $564.39 million in total debt with a debt-to-equity ratio of 9.31 relative to financials peers — debt reduction depends on sustained free cash flow generation, particularly given the impact of non-cash charges on reported earnings. Leverage changes for First Mid should be read alongside capital expenditure patterns to distinguish growth investment from refinancing activity. The rate environment affects debt cost — the same principal carries a different burden at higher interest rates.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Days Sales Outstanding stood at 31.29 as of December 31, 2025. Meanwhile, Book Value Per Share is near current levels at 40.16, while Price To Sales Ratio is holding steady near 2x.
 Price Book
1.06
 Price Sales
3.31
 Shares Float
24.07 million
 Dividend Share
0.99
 Wall Street Target Price
49
Latest disclosures for First Mid Illinois show $466.0 million in Total Revenue, $91.7 million in Net Income, and $122.9 million in Operating Income.
  

Stock Analysis Notes

About 45.0% of FMBH shares are owned by institutional investors. FMBH has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. Equities trading at this Price to Book (P/B) range reflect investor confidence in earnings power beyond book value. First Mid has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.27. FMBH had its last dividend issued on the 15th of May 2026. The firm completed a 1.500-for-1 stock split on 2nd of July 2007. Latest disclosures for First Mid Illinois show $0.02 in Intangibles To Total Assets, $8.0 billion in Total Assets, and a Return On Assets of 0.7%.

Gross Profit

$356.26 million
Gross Profit stood at $339.3 million as of December 31, 2025.

Investor Insights and Alerts

First Mid Illinois has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from simplywall.st: What First Mid Bancshares s Q 1 Earnings, Dividend and CEO Transition Mean For Shareholders

Largest EPS Surprises

The gap between reported and consensus EPS is a fast repricing trigger for First Mid's stock. Negative surprises can compress valuation; positive surprises can stabilize sentiment. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2016-01-28
2015-12-310.430.480.0511 
2020-10-29
2020-09-300.620.690.0711 
2018-07-26
2018-06-300.650.720.0710 
View All Earnings Estimates

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

ESG analysis for First Mid Illinois goes beyond values-based screening. It highlights practices with real financial consequences. ESG history tests whether the company is truly improving governance or just managing disclosure optics.

Top Institutional Investors Holding First Mid Stock

Annual revenue is about 466.04 million. How First Mid Illinois's institutional base reacts to earnings changes can move the stock in the short term. The business currently sits in the Financial Services sector and the Banks - Regional industry. With moderate institutional presence, retail activity has more room to move the price day to day.
Shares
Endeavour Capital Advisors Inc2025-12-31
208.7 K
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-12-31
188.5 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-12-31
179.2 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2025-12-31
169.4 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2025-12-31
150.4 K
Gendell Jeffrey L2025-12-31
137.5 K
Siena Capital Management, Llc2025-12-31
128.4 K
Rhino Investment Partners, Inc.2025-12-31
128 K
Deprince Race & Zollo Inc2026-03-31
118.7 K
Blackrock Inc2025-12-31
2.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-12-31
1.3 M
At 1.16 billion, First Mid Illinois sits in smaller-cap territory where institutional context matters most alongside valuation and volatility readings. Whether First Mid Illinois institutional base is index-driven or conviction-based changes how to read it - at this size active managers often hold meaningful weight.

Market Capitalization

With a market cap of $1.16 billion, First Mid Illinois screens as a mid-cap company within regional banks. Useful market capitalization details here include about 26.61 million shares outstanding, enterprise value near $1.28 billion, and a workforce of about 1,335 people.

Profitability

Profitability metrics test whether First Mid Illinois is building real earning power or just reporting one-time accounting gains. At small-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. Return on assets, return on equity, and cash flow deserve as much focus as earnings per share. FMBH has Profit Margin (PM) of 27.0%. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 41.0%.
Last ReportedEnd Of Year Estimate
Return On Tangible Assets0.010.01
Return On Capital Employed0.090.1
Return On Assets1.00%1.00%
Return On Equity10.00%11.00%

Management Efficiency

FMBH has return on total asset (ROA) of 1.14% indicating that assets are generating a positive return. This is under the sector median. First Mid also reports a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 9.85%, indicating that shareholder capital is generating returns.
Last ReportedEnd Of Year Estimate
Book Value Per Share40.1642.17
Tangible Book Value Per Share29.5631.04
Price Book Value Ratio0.97x1.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple10.58x8.51x
Price Fair Value0.97x1.4x
Enterprise Value$237.43 million$249.3 million
The management picture for First Mid Illinois becomes most actionable when executive decisions are compared with financial outcomes rather than with presentation language alone. Operating efficiency, capital deployment, and guidance credibility together determine how much confidence management warrants.
 Operating Margin
40.5%
 Long Term Debt Total
80.52 million
 Three Month Return
-1.47
 Short Long Term Debt Total
592.61 million
 Ten Year Return
74.83

Technical Drivers

On the 9th of May, First Mid is quoted at 43.94 per share. Observed technical values include Downside Deviation of 1.48, coefficient of variation of 9253.46, and Mean Deviation of 1.04. The framework analyzes price history and volume dynamics to measure short- and intermediate-term momentum. Indicator readings are benchmarked against comparable companies.

Price Movement Analysis - Bollinger Bands

This analysis covers thirty-eight data points across the selected time horizon. The Exponential Moving Average is calculated by weighting recent values of First Mid Illinois more heavily than older values.

Insider Trading Activities

The analytical value in First Mid's insider filings lies in transaction clustering, trade size, and timing relative to price movements rather than any single filing. U.S. insider activity is disclosed through Form 4 filings, enabling analysis of transaction timing, clustering, and scale.

Outstanding Bonds

Reviewing First Mid Illinois bond obligations provides context for understanding how much of the business is financed with fixed-income capital rather than purely with equity. Longer-dated obligations can improve financing stability, but they also leave investors more exposed if the underlying business weakens before the debt matures.

Predictive Daily Indicators

Daily signals in First Mid Illinois help active traders track momentum, reversals, and volume pressure during the session. The best setups combine these signals with strict risk limits, since short-term data can reverse fast when liquidity thins.

Corporate Filings

10Q
8th of May 2026
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
8K
1st of May 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
8K
29th of April 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
13A
27th of April 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
8K
15th of April 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
F4
6th of April 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
F4
1st of April 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
F4
31st of March 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities

Forecast Models

Forecasting applied to First Mid Illinois learns from price structure, volatility patterns, and trend strength rather than commentary alone. These models describe patterns, not guarantees. The real test is whether market conditions have changed enough to break the old pattern.

Financial Strength and Earnings Quality Indicators

First Mid Illinois financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much First Mid has to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for First Mid's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
3
FrailView
Beneish M Score
-2.55
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Debt to Cash Allocation

The debt-to-cash mix for First Mid helps explain how management balances flexibility and funding cost through a business cycle.
Total debt stands at approximately $564.39 million with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 9.31. First Mid's use of debt should be considered alongside its cash position and equity base.

Total Assets Over Time

Assets Financed by Debt

Debt finances 7.95% of FMBH's total assets — a relatively low share of the asset base, though leverage can still appear elevated relative to peers when measured against equity rather than total assets.
First Mid Debt Ratio
    
  7.95   
The reported figures indicate most of First Mid's assets are financed through equity. A high debt-to-asset ratio signals elevated leverage, increasing First Mid's exposure to interest rate changes and credit tightening. It can also constrain First Mid's borrowing capacity and reduce financial flexibility.

Corporate Bonds Issued

Bond maturity for First Mid is a core risk dimension. Longer duration can offer higher yield, but price sensitivity and credit uncertainty also increase.

First Mid Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

$592.61 million
Short and Long Term Debt Total stood at $564.39 million as of December 31, 2025.

Stock Analysis Methodology

First Mid stock analysis checks balance sheet strength, earnings quality, and price momentum. First Mid shows ROE (TTM) of 9.85% and net margin (TTM) of 27.3%. Balance sheet indicators include debt-to-equity of 9.31.

First Mid Illinois values are built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with reporting definitions aligned before display. Sell-side coverage, where present, supplements the data shown.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Vlad Skutelnik, Macroaxis Contributor

Current First Mid Analyst Rating Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
49.0Buy7Odds
First Mid Illinois analyst recommendation data spans current and historical periods across providers. Analyst recommendations can range from strong sell to strong buy on a standardized scale. First Mid Illinois's analyst consensus is derived from the aggregate of buy, hold, and sell ratings issued by covering institutions. Consensus upgrades or downgrades for First Mid often have meaningful short-term impact on the stock price. Following analyst revisions on First Mid over time reveals trends in institutional sentiment.
First Mid Analyst Advice Details

First Mid Stock Analysis Indicators

Diagnostics snapshot includes 19 indicators such as Begin Period Cash Flow, Long Term Debt, Common Stock Shares Outstanding.
Begin Period Cash Flow121.22 million
Long Term Debt354.46 million
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.99 million
Total Stockholder Equity958.69 million
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-302.62 million
Tax Provision25.3 million
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.141
Property Plant And Equipment Net103.46 million
Cash And Short Term Investments1.09 billion
Cash256.58 million
Accounts Payable5.78 million
Net Debt307.8 million
50 Day M A41.7776
Total Current Liabilities6.6 billion
Other Operating Expenses348.99 million
Non Current Assets Total6.84 billion
Forward Price Earnings12.0482
Non Currrent Assets Other247.23 million
Stock Based Compensation2.64 million