First Mid Illinois Stock Performance
| FMBH Stock | USD 42.06 0.52 1.22% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Mid holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.13, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. First Mid returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Mid is expected to follow. Please check First Mid's treynor ratio, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether First Mid's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Mid Illinois are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile fundamental drivers, First Mid demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.22) | Five Day Return (2.46) | Year To Date Return 8.88 | Ten Year Return 60.23 | All Time Return 847.3 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0235 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:2 | Forward Dividend Rate 1 | Dividend Date 2025-12-01 |
1 | First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Announces Acquisition of Two Rivers - MSN | 11/07/2025 |
2 | Insider Trading | 11/17/2025 |
| First Mid dividend paid on 1st of December 2025 | 12/01/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 13309 shares by Joseph Dively of First Mid subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Melvin Alex J of 117 shares of First Mid at .93 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/08/2025 |
6 | Analysts Offer Insights on Financial Companies Robinhood , First Busey and Unity Bancorp - The Globe and Mail | 12/09/2025 |
7 | Hsbc Holdings PLC Invests 677,000 in First Mid Bancshares, Inc. FMBH | 12/11/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 2897 shares by Joseph Dively of First Mid at 42.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/15/2025 |
9 | Reviewing First Mid Bancshares NSTS Bancorp | 12/17/2025 |
10 | First Mid Bancshares CEO Clay Dean Sells 1,099 Shares - MarketBeat | 12/22/2025 |
11 | Acquisition by Mccurry James Kyle of 319 shares of First Mid at .5473 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/05/2026 |
12 | First Mid Bancshares investors will be pleased with their respectable 33 percent return over the last three years | 01/06/2026 |
13 | Short Interest in First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Drops By 32.2 percent - MarketBeat | 01/16/2026 |
14 | Analysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Financial Companies Independent Bank , Trico Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares - The Globe and Mail | 01/27/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 143.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -7.5 M |
First Mid Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,549 in First Mid Illinois on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 657.00 from holding First Mid Illinois or generate 18.51% return on investment over 90 days. First Mid Illinois is currently generating 0.2969% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6612% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
First Mid Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 42.06 | 90 days | 42.06 | about 10.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Mid to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.08 (This First Mid Illinois probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This usually indicates First Mid Illinois market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Mid is expected to follow. Additionally First Mid Illinois has an alpha of 0.1541, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). First Mid Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Mid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Mid Illinois. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.First Mid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Mid Illinois, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
First Mid Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Mid Illinois can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Financial Companies Independent Bank , Trico Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares - The Globe and Mail |
First Mid Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Mid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Mid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
First Mid Fundamentals Growth
First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Mid, and First Mid fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0974 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0113 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.26 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.38 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 1.29 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 23.99 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 14.51 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.10 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.01 X | |||
| Revenue | 447.28 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 335.1 M | |||
| EBITDA | 125.17 M | |||
| Net Income | 78.9 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 142.42 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 6.96 X | |||
| Total Debt | 572.58 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 9.31 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 38.85 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 124.42 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.65 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 1.01 B | |||
| Total Asset | 7.52 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 395.19 M | |||
About First Mid Performance
By evaluating First Mid's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Mid's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Mid has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Mid has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.10 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.09 | 0.11 |
Things to note about First Mid Illinois performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about First Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Mid Illinois help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Financial Companies Independent Bank , Trico Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares - The Globe and Mail |
- Analyzing First Mid's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Mid's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining First Mid's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating First Mid's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Mid's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Mid's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Mid's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Mid's price analysis, check to measure First Mid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Mid is operating at the current time. Most of First Mid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Mid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Mid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Mid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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